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Padres Announce 2018 25-man Roster

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The speculation is finally over. Andy Green finalized his roster on Thursday. There are some surprises, some old faces, some tough cuts, but overall a much more talented, exciting roster (with more talent and more excitement on the way) than we saw last year. Here’s a review of the Padres’ 2018 Opening Day team...

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Catchers (3)

Austin Hedges (R/R)

MLB: Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres Jake Roth-USA TODAY Sports

Spring: 48 PA, .214/.313/.548, 4 HR

2017: 417 PA, 71 wRC+, 18 HR, 0.6 WAR; 31.8 FRAA (1st in MLB)

A.J. Ellis (R/R)

MLB: San Diego Padres-Media Day Rick Scuteri-USA TODAY Sports

Spring: 31 PA, .217/.419/.435

2017: 163 PA, 80 wRC+, 0.2 WAR; -4.0 FRAA

Raffy Lopez (L/R)

San Diego Padres Photo Day Photo by Patrick Smith/Getty Images

Spring: 29 PA, .320/.414/.880, 4 HR

2017: 63 PA, 100 wRC+, 4 HR, 0.3 WAR; 4.6 FRAA

2017 AAA: 223 PA, 153 wRC+, 12 HR

Breakdown:

Andy Green really likes Raffy Lopez’ left handed bat. The former Blue Jay can give Austin Hedges the occasional day off against tough right handers. A.J. Ellis fits in as an inexpensive, well-respected veteran whose intangibles make up for a physical skillset that has dropped off with age.

Infielders (6)

Eric Hosmer (L/L, 1B)

MLB: Spring Training-San Diego Padres at Chicago Cubs Rick Scuteri-USA TODAY Sports

Spring: 57 PA, .273/.298/.545, 4 HR, 13 RBI

2017: 671 PA, 135 wRC+, 25 HR, 98 RBI, 94 R, -0.4 UZR/150 @ 1B, 4.1 WAR

Carlos Asuaje (L/R, 2B)

MLB: Washington Nationals at San Diego Padres Jake Roth-USA TODAY Sports

Spring: 62 PA, .339/.387/.625, 3 3B

2017: 343 PA, 90 wRC+, 3.2 UZR/150 @ 2B, 0.8 WAR

Freddy Galvis (S/R, SS)

San Diego Padres Photo Day Photo by Patrick Smith/Getty Images

Spring: 57 PA, .269/.316/.481

2017: 663 PA, 80 wRC+, 3.5 UZR/150 @ SS, 1.6 WAR

Chase Headley (S/R, 3B/1B)

San Diego Padres v Arizona Diamondbacks Photo by Christian Petersen/Getty Images

Spring: 50 PA, .243/.440/.432

2017: 586 PA, 104 wRC+, -4.3 UZR/150 @ 3B, 1.9 WAR

Christian Villanueva (R/R, 3B/UT)

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Spring: 62 PA, .226/.323/.491, 4 HR, 16 RBI

2017: 32 PA, 184 wRC+, 4 HR, 0.4 WAR

2017 AAA: 454 PA, 129 wRC+, 20 HR

Cory Spangenberg (L/R, 2B/3B/LF)

MLB: San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks Rick Scuteri-USA TODAY Sports

Spring: 55 PA, .294/.345/.549, 11 Runs

2017: 486 PA, 94 wRC+, 13 HR, -3.1 UZR/150 @ 3B, 1.1 WAR

Breakdown:

Eric Hosmer and Freddy Galvis will play every day at first base and shortstop, respectively. Jose Pirela is expected to get some action at second base against lefties, but the majority of the reps will go to Cory Spangenberg and Carlos Asuaje. Chase Headley will get the lions’ share of the action at the hot corner. Both Spangenberg and Christian Villanueva can fill in at third base, with additional versatility in the outfield, and at shortstop, respectively.

This is a group that, outside of Hosmer and Galvis, could change significantly by the end of the season. Roster needs will likely limit the Padres to five infielders in the near future. Additionally, top second base prospect Luis Urias is expected to force himself into the big league conversation during the summer.

Outfielders (5)

Wil Myers (R/R, RF/LF)

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Spring: 59 PA, .362/.373/.621, 4 HR, 10 RBI

2017: 649 PA, 109 wRC+, 30 HR, 20 SB, 0.9 WAR

2015: -42.5 UZR/150 in CF

2014: 2.5 UZR/150 in RF

Manny Margot (R/R, CF)

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Spring: 64 PA, .250/.344/.411, 10 Runs

2017: 529 PA, 92 wRC+, 6.0 UZR/150, 1.9 WAR

Hunter Renfroe (R/R, RF)

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Spring: 69 PA, .266/.319/.625, 6 HR, 13 RBI

2017: 479 PA, 96 wRC+, 26 HR, -8.7 UZR/150 in RF, 0.3 WAR

Jose Pirela (R/R, LF/2B)

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Spring: 61 PA, .385/.459/.596

2017: 344 PA, 122 wRC+, 9.3 UZR/150 in LF, 2.1 WAR

Matt Szczur (R/R, OF)

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Spring: 30 PA, .240/.345/.600, 3 HR

2017: 237 PA, 96 wRC+, 14.3 BB%, -6.2 UZR/150 in OF, 0.4 WAR

Breakdown:

Manny Margot enters his age-23 season with high expectations as the team’s everyday center fielder. Jose Pirela and Hunter Renfroe could form one of the strangest platoons in baseball, and not just because they are both right handed batters. Andy Green has discussed the possibility of playing Pirela in Left Field against righties (113 wRC+ in 2017), while getting Renfroe’s bat in the lineup in Right Field against southpaws (10.4 AB/HR, 177 wRC+ in 2017). Wil Myers is going to play 150-plus games...whether that’s going to be in Right, Left, or a combination of both is yet to be determined. Matt Szczur is likely on a short leash as he has neither Travis Jankowski’s nor Franchy Cordero’s speed, defense or left handed bat.

Starting Pitchers (4)

LHP Clayton Richard

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Spring: 12.0 IP, 1.08 WHIP, 6.8 K/9, 3.0 BB/9

2017: 197.1 IP, 4.23 FIP, 6.9 K/9, 2.7 BB/9, 2.3 WAR

RHP Luis Perdomo

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Spring: 15.2 IP, 1.56 WHIP, 8.6 K/9, 4.6 BB/9

2017: 163.2 IP, 4.40 FIP, 6.5 K/9, 3.6 BB/9, 1.6 WAR

RHP Bryan Mitchell

MLB: San Diego Padres-Media Day Rick Scuteri-USA TODAY Sports

Spring: 12.0 IP, 1.67 WHIP, 7.5 K/9m 4.5 BB/9

2017: 32.2 IP, 1 GS, 4.20 FIP, 4.7 K/9, 3.6 BB/9, 0.2 WAR

2017 AAA: 63.2 IP, 13 GS, 2.18 FIP, 9.3 K/9, 1.8 BB/9

LHP Robbie Erlin

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Spring: 6.1 IP, 0.947 WHIP, 11.4 K/9, 1.4 BB/9

2017: DNP, Tommy John Surgery

Career (2013-2016): 148.2 IP, 25 GS, 3.78 FIP, 6.6 K/9, 2.1 BB/9, 1.8 WAR

Breakdown:

Obviously, the Padres cannot field a four man rotation forever, Tyson Ross will join the time as soon as he is needed. The Padres have plenty of question marks in their 2018 rotation. They will have two players who’ve undergone thoracic outlet syndrome surgery (Richard, February 2014; Ross, October 2016), and two players with previous Tommy John surgeries (Ross, January 2005; Erlin, May 2016).

Perdomo (49 GS) and Richard (41 GS) are the only two pitchers who have logged significant time as major league starters over the last two seasons. Ross (11 GS), Mitchell (6 GS), and Erlin (2 GS) have all spent significant time on the DL, in the minors, or in the bullpen during that same timeframe.

Throughout the season, the Padres could get starts from 40-man roster members Matt Strahm and Walker Lockett as well as top-30 prospects such as Joey Lucchesi, Eric Lauer, Cal Quantril and Jacob Nix.

Relief Pitchers (7)

LHP Brad Hand

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Spring: 5.0 IP, 1.00 WHIP, 10.8 K/9, 1.8 BB/9

2017: 79.1 IP, 3.03 FIP, 11.8 K/9, 2.3 BB/9, 1.7 WAR

RHP Kirby Yates

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Spring: 7.1 IP, 1.36 WHIP, 12.3 K/9, 4.9 BB/9

2017: 56.2 IP, 3.92 FIP, 14.0 K/9m 3.0 BB/9, 0.4 WAR

RHP Kaz Makita

MLB: San Diego Padres-Media Day Rick Scuteri-USA TODAY Sports

Spring: 8.0 IP, 1.25 WHIP, 11.3 K/9, 3.4 BB/9

2017 Japan Pacific League: 62.2 IP, 1.02 WHIP, 5.0 K/9, 0.7 BB/9

RHP Craig Stammen

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Spring: 6.2 IP, 1.20 WHIP, 9.5 K/9, 1.4 BB/9

2017: 80.1 IP, 4.38 FIP, 8.3 K/9, 3.1 BB/9, 0.0 WAR

RHP Adam Cimber

MLB: San Diego Padres-Media Day Rick Scuteri-USA TODAY Sports

Spring: 9.0 IP, 0.556 WHIP, 9.0 K/9, 1.0 BB/9

2017 AAA: 64.2 IP, 37 G, 4.59 FIP, 7.2 K/9, 1.1 BB/9

RHP Jordan Lyles

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Spring: 11.0 IP, 1.91 WHIP, 6.5 K/9, 4.1 BB/9

2017: 69.2 IP, 5 GS, 5.68 FIP, 7.1 K/9, 2.8 BB/9, -0.3 WAR

LHP Kyle McGrath

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Spring: 4.0 IP, 0.750 WHIP, 9.0 K/9, 2.3 BB/9

2017: 19.0 IP, 3.79 FIP, 7.6 K/9, 2.8 BB/9, 0.1 WAR

2017 AA: 23.2 IP, 2.77 FIP, 10.3 K/9, 1.5 BB/9

Breakdown:

Outside of Kirby Yates, Craig Stammen, Brad Hand and Kaz Makita, the next three to four relievers could be a revolving door. That’s partly due to the likelihood that the rotation will stress the bullpen with short outings, and partly to the abundance of talented relievers in the upper minors. Buddy Baumann, Phil Maton, Colten Brewer and Brad Wieck are already on the 40-man roster and will push McGrath, Cimber and Lyles to earn their keep. Additionally, guys like Trey Wingenter, Robert Stock and Eric Yardley could force the Padres into some tough roster decisions.

That kind of talent will allow the Padres to shop their established relievers at the trade deadline. However, I’ll go on record as saying that the Padres should, and will, hold onto Brad Hand for two reasons: First, the Hosmer signing indicates a desire to win sooner...teams that are trying to win do not trade their best players. Second, the Padres’ minor league affiliates should be able to produce six or seven complimentary bullpen pieces (setup, long relief, specialists, etc), but finding a really solid closer, especially one that can go multiple innings, is far more difficult.

The Roster Math:

Alex Dickerson is headed to the 60-Day DL, and Carter Capps and Rowan Wick were both designated for assignment opening three spots on the 40-man roster. That makes room for non-roster invitees A.J. Ellis, Raffy Lopez, and Adam Cimber.

Allen Cordoba, Franchy Cordero, Dinelson Lamet, Colin Rea and Matt Strahm will start on the 10-Day DL.

Tyson Ross is currently NOT on the 40-man roster.

Takeaways:

Positives: The Padres finally have a solid defensive shortstop in Freddy Galvis. Hunter Renfroe should be in a position to maximize his value against LHP. Jose Pirela is going to get a chance to repeat his 2017. Brad Hand is still awesome.

Negatives: Villanueva/Headley/Spangenberg at third base, with no replacement on the horizon, is not very exciting. The starting rotation has a ton of holes (actually, it’s just one big hole), especially with the injury to Lamet. There are no left handed bats in the outfield, unless the Padres are really counting on Spangenberg’s versatility.

Unknowns: Who is Wil Myers (2016: 3.9 WAR or 2017: 0.9 WAR)? Who is Eric Hosmer (2016: -0.9 WAR or 2017: 4.1 WAR)? Is Bryan Mitchell the 2018 version of Drew Pomeranz? Can Margot or Hedges take the next step offensively? Will Renfroe be more than a platoon player?

How does this team look? What surprised you? Which players need to be on a short leash?

Poll

How many games will the 2018 Padres win?

This poll is closed

  • 10%
    70 or Fewer
    (20 votes)
  • 29%
    71-75
    (58 votes)
  • 24%
    76-80
    (49 votes)
  • 27%
    81-85
    (54 votes)
  • 6%
    86-90
    (13 votes)
  • 1%
    90 or More
    (3 votes)
197 votes total Vote Now