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2015 Padres off to a hot start

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Isaiah J. Downing-USA TODAY Sports

Only three Padres teams have gotten off to a hotter start in their first 14 games than the 2015 Padres.  Of those three teams, two of them went to the World Series and the other finished at .500, go figure.  Still, the other two went to the World Series!  To believe that we'll end up there again we'll have to suspend some disbelief and ignore the other teams that started 9-5 and finished horribly.  We're going to the Fall Classic everybody!

Best records after 14 games

Year

Wins in first 14

Win % after first 14

Season Wins

Season Games

Season Win %

1975

9

64.29

71

162

43.83

2009

9

64.29

75

162

46.3

1991

9

64.29

84

162

51.85

1996

9

64.29

91

162

56.17

2015

9

64.29

9

14

64.29

1982

10

71.43

81

162

50

1984

10

71.43

92

162

56.79

1998

11

78.57

98

162

60.49

April has been a historically bad month for the Padres, so it's nice to see a bit of a reversal so far.

Padres record for each month

Month

Wins

Games

Win %

Apr

471

1046

45.03

Jul

545

1207

45.15

Sep

554

1198

46.24

Jun

576

1244

46.3

May

603

1279

47.15

Aug

610

1275

47.84

Oct

44

88

50

Mar

4

5

80

Speaking of hot starts, the Padres got off to one in last night's game against the Rockies. They scored 9 runs in the first two innings.  There was still a little bit of  doubt that crept into my mind about the outcome of the game, even then.  The Padres have lost 38 games in their history when they've scored 9 or more runs.  Nine of those games they lost in Colorado.

Games lost to Colorado when the Padres scored 9+ runs

Year

Date

Outcome

Opponent

H/A

Runs

Runs Against

1999

3-Jul

L

COL

@

10

12

1996

15-Apr

L

COL

@

9

11

1994

28-Jun

L

COL

@

9

10

1995

4-Aug

L

COL

@

12

14

2001

27-Sep

L

COL

@

9

13

2012

2-Sep

L

COL

@

10

11

2009

22-Sep

L

COL

@

10

11

1996

12-Jul

L

COL

@

12

13

2001

24-Sep

L

COL

@

11

15

Once the Padres scored 14 runs the victory was all but assured.  Only once in their history have they lost a game when they've scored more than 12 runs. The Cardinals beat the Padres 16-14 at Busch Stadium.  The Pads were down by 5 runs in the 9th but scored 3 in the final frame in a failed comeback attempt.

Padres record when they've scored 13+ runs

Runs Scored

Wins

Games

Win %

13

38

38

100

14

14

15

93.33

15

17

17

100

16

5

5

100

17

6

6

100

18

3

3

100

20

2

2

100

Scoring hasn't been much of a problem yet for this team.  They're scoring the 4th highest average runs in April at just over 5 a game.

Highest average runs in April

Year

Month

Games

Total Runs

Average Runs

1995

Apr

5

39

7.8

2000

Apr

25

137

5.48

1996

Apr

27

145

5.37

2015

Apr

14

73

5.21

If we're just comparing the first 14 games, then they're ranked 7th.  Last year in 2014 they were averaging 2.86 runs per game at this point.  It's been a whiplash type of season so far.

Most runs scored in the first 14 games

Year

Games

Total Runs

Average Runs

1996

14

90

6.43

1998

14

88

6.29

1995

14

84

6

2001

14

80

5.71

1990

14

78

5.57

2000

14

74

5.29

2015

14

73

5.21

In April they've kept the runs scored by their opponents to a minimum.  As of now they're ranked 7th.

Opponent runs in April

Year

Month

Games

Runs Allowed

Opponent Average Runs

1985

Apr

19

58

3.05

1986

Apr

21

69

3.29

2010

Apr

23

77

3.35

2002

Apr

26

91

3.5

1982

Apr

19

67

3.53

1972

Apr

16

57

3.56

2015

Apr

14

50

3.57

After 14 games they're tied for 9th.

Opponent runs in first 14 games

Year

Games

Runs Allowed

Opponent Average Runs

1985

14

41

2.93

1986

14

42

3

1997

14

42

3

1975

14

45

3.21

2008

14

47

3.36

1972

14

48

3.43

2011

14

48

3.43

2014

14

49

3.5

1992

14

50

3.57

1976

14

50

3.57

2015

14

50

3.57

1982

14

50

3.57

I don't think that we can draw too many conclusions at this point, except that the Padres are off to a hot start and they've been so much more fun to watch then in past years.  If they keep it up we'll be in for quite a ride.