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Only three Padres teams have gotten off to a hotter start in their first 14 games than the 2015 Padres. Of those three teams, two of them went to the World Series and the other finished at .500, go figure. Still, the other two went to the World Series! To believe that we'll end up there again we'll have to suspend some disbelief and ignore the other teams that started 9-5 and finished horribly. We're going to the Fall Classic everybody!
Best records after 14 games
Year |
Wins in first 14 |
Win % after first 14 |
Season Wins |
Season Games |
Season Win % |
1975 |
9 |
64.29 |
71 |
162 |
43.83 |
2009 |
9 |
64.29 |
75 |
162 |
46.3 |
1991 |
9 |
64.29 |
84 |
162 |
51.85 |
1996 |
9 |
64.29 |
91 |
162 |
56.17 |
2015 |
9 |
64.29 |
9 |
14 |
64.29 |
1982 |
10 |
71.43 |
81 |
162 |
50 |
1984 |
10 |
71.43 |
92 |
162 |
56.79 |
1998 |
11 |
78.57 |
98 |
162 |
60.49 |
April has been a historically bad month for the Padres, so it's nice to see a bit of a reversal so far.
Padres record for each month
Month |
Wins |
Games |
Win % |
Apr |
471 |
1046 |
45.03 |
Jul |
545 |
1207 |
45.15 |
Sep |
554 |
1198 |
46.24 |
Jun |
576 |
1244 |
46.3 |
May |
603 |
1279 |
47.15 |
Aug |
610 |
1275 |
47.84 |
Oct |
44 |
88 |
50 |
Mar |
4 |
5 |
80 |
Speaking of hot starts, the Padres got off to one in last night's game against the Rockies. They scored 9 runs in the first two innings. There was still a little bit of doubt that crept into my mind about the outcome of the game, even then. The Padres have lost 38 games in their history when they've scored 9 or more runs. Nine of those games they lost in Colorado.
Games lost to Colorado when the Padres scored 9+ runs
Year |
Date |
Outcome |
Opponent |
H/A |
Runs |
Runs Against |
1999 |
3-Jul |
L |
COL |
@ |
10 |
12 |
1996 |
15-Apr |
L |
COL |
@ |
9 |
11 |
1994 |
28-Jun |
L |
COL |
@ |
9 |
10 |
1995 |
4-Aug |
L |
COL |
@ |
12 |
14 |
2001 |
27-Sep |
L |
COL |
@ |
9 |
13 |
2012 |
2-Sep |
L |
COL |
@ |
10 |
11 |
2009 |
22-Sep |
L |
COL |
@ |
10 |
11 |
1996 |
12-Jul |
L |
COL |
@ |
12 |
13 |
2001 |
24-Sep |
L |
COL |
@ |
11 |
15 |
Once the Padres scored 14 runs the victory was all but assured. Only once in their history have they lost a game when they've scored more than 12 runs. The Cardinals beat the Padres 16-14 at Busch Stadium. The Pads were down by 5 runs in the 9th but scored 3 in the final frame in a failed comeback attempt.
Padres record when they've scored 13+ runs
Runs Scored |
Wins |
Games |
Win % |
13 |
38 |
38 |
100 |
14 |
14 |
15 |
93.33 |
15 |
17 |
17 |
100 |
16 |
5 |
5 |
100 |
17 |
6 |
6 |
100 |
18 |
3 |
3 |
100 |
20 |
2 |
2 |
100 |
Scoring hasn't been much of a problem yet for this team. They're scoring the 4th highest average runs in April at just over 5 a game.
Highest average runs in April
Year |
Month |
Games |
Total Runs |
Average Runs |
1995 |
Apr |
5 |
39 |
7.8 |
2000 |
Apr |
25 |
137 |
5.48 |
1996 |
Apr |
27 |
145 |
5.37 |
2015 |
Apr |
14 |
73 |
5.21 |
If we're just comparing the first 14 games, then they're ranked 7th. Last year in 2014 they were averaging 2.86 runs per game at this point. It's been a whiplash type of season so far.
Most runs scored in the first 14 games
Year |
Games |
Total Runs |
Average Runs |
1996 |
14 |
90 |
6.43 |
1998 |
14 |
88 |
6.29 |
1995 |
14 |
84 |
6 |
2001 |
14 |
80 |
5.71 |
1990 |
14 |
78 |
5.57 |
2000 |
14 |
74 |
5.29 |
2015 |
14 |
73 |
5.21 |
In April they've kept the runs scored by their opponents to a minimum. As of now they're ranked 7th.
Opponent runs in April
Year |
Month |
Games |
Runs Allowed |
Opponent Average Runs |
1985 |
Apr |
19 |
58 |
3.05 |
1986 |
Apr |
21 |
69 |
3.29 |
2010 |
Apr |
23 |
77 |
3.35 |
2002 |
Apr |
26 |
91 |
3.5 |
1982 |
Apr |
19 |
67 |
3.53 |
1972 |
Apr |
16 |
57 |
3.56 |
2015 |
Apr |
14 |
50 |
3.57 |
After 14 games they're tied for 9th.
Opponent runs in first 14 games
Year |
Games |
Runs Allowed |
Opponent Average Runs |
1985 |
14 |
41 |
2.93 |
1986 |
14 |
42 |
3 |
1997 |
14 |
42 |
3 |
1975 |
14 |
45 |
3.21 |
2008 |
14 |
47 |
3.36 |
1972 |
14 |
48 |
3.43 |
2011 |
14 |
48 |
3.43 |
2014 |
14 |
49 |
3.5 |
1992 |
14 |
50 |
3.57 |
1976 |
14 |
50 |
3.57 |
2015 |
14 |
50 |
3.57 |
1982 |
14 |
50 |
3.57 |
I don't think that we can draw too many conclusions at this point, except that the Padres are off to a hot start and they've been so much more fun to watch then in past years. If they keep it up we'll be in for quite a ride.