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After the first series of the season there seemed to be some trepidation among Padres fans about their revamped team. Would the upgrades in the offseason actually work on the field during the regular season? The Pads looked competitive but for some there was already reason to panic. The Dodgers did us dirty in the first and third games.
Now I wasn't in full blown panic mode, but this team is about as "all in" as any Padres team since 1998. Team leadership has seemingly pulled out all the stops and I'd hate to see the Padres miss the playoffs because of a slow lackluster start. Every win is going to matter this year and we know all too well one game could make all the difference.
With all that said I decided that there'd be sufficient reason to panic if the the Padres had won less than 4 games out of the first 10. In my mind, I drew the line in the sand. At the time I checked to see if Padres teams of the past had ever made a success of their season when starting with just three wins. Sure enough, the 2006 team did it, they finished with 88 wins and division championship. Still I thought I'd choose to panic early, if it came to it.
As it turns out, there was no need. The Padres have won their last two series and have claimed 6 wins. I'm growing more confident and I feel they're growing more confident too.
Have a look at how other Padres teams started and finished their seasons and see that it doesn't tell us a whole lot.
Year |
Wins in 1st 10 |
Win % in 1st 10 |
Season Wins |
Season Games |
Season Win % |
1994 |
1 |
10 |
47 |
117 |
40.17 |
1974 |
2 |
20 |
60 |
162 |
37.04 |
1987 |
2 |
20 |
65 |
162 |
40.12 |
2012 |
2 |
20 |
76 |
162 |
46.91 |
2013 |
2 |
20 |
76 |
162 |
46.91 |
1981 |
3 |
30 |
41 |
110 |
37.27 |
1993 |
3 |
30 |
61 |
162 |
37.65 |
1971 |
3 |
30 |
61 |
161 |
37.89 |
1988 |
3 |
30 |
83 |
161 |
51.55 |
1978 |
3 |
30 |
84 |
162 |
51.85 |
2006 |
3 |
30 |
88 |
162 |
54.32 |
1969 |
4 |
40 |
52 |
162 |
32.1 |
1973 |
4 |
40 |
60 |
162 |
37.04 |
1972 |
4 |
40 |
58 |
153 |
37.91 |
2003 |
4 |
40 |
64 |
162 |
39.51 |
2002 |
4 |
40 |
66 |
162 |
40.74 |
1979 |
4 |
40 |
68 |
161 |
42.24 |
1977 |
4 |
40 |
69 |
162 |
42.59 |
2011 |
4 |
40 |
71 |
162 |
43.83 |
2014 |
4 |
40 |
77 |
162 |
47.53 |
1995 |
4 |
40 |
70 |
144 |
48.61 |
1983 |
4 |
40 |
81 |
163 |
49.69 |
2004 |
4 |
40 |
87 |
162 |
53.7 |
2010 |
4 |
40 |
90 |
162 |
55.56 |
1970 |
5 |
50 |
63 |
162 |
38.89 |
2008 |
5 |
50 |
63 |
162 |
38.89 |
1976 |
5 |
50 |
73 |
162 |
45.06 |
1999 |
5 |
50 |
74 |
162 |
45.68 |
2000 |
5 |
50 |
76 |
162 |
46.91 |
2001 |
5 |
50 |
79 |
162 |
48.77 |
2005 |
5 |
50 |
82 |
162 |
50.62 |
1989 |
5 |
50 |
89 |
162 |
54.94 |
1975 |
6 |
60 |
71 |
162 |
43.83 |
1980 |
6 |
60 |
73 |
163 |
44.79 |
1990 |
6 |
60 |
75 |
162 |
46.3 |
1997 |
6 |
60 |
76 |
162 |
46.91 |
1982 |
6 |
60 |
81 |
162 |
50 |
1985 |
6 |
60 |
83 |
162 |
51.23 |
2007 |
6 |
60 |
89 |
163 |
54.6 |
2015 |
6 |
60 |
6 |
10 |
60 |
1986 |
7 |
70 |
74 |
162 |
45.68 |
2009 |
7 |
70 |
75 |
162 |
46.3 |
1992 |
7 |
70 |
82 |
162 |
50.62 |
1991 |
7 |
70 |
84 |
162 |
51.85 |
1996 |
7 |
70 |
91 |
162 |
56.17 |
1984 |
8 |
80 |
92 |
162 |
56.79 |
1998 |
8 |
80 |
98 |
162 |
60.49 |