First 6 Padres games may be precursor of things to come

The 2013 Padres are off to a miserable 1-5 start. I wanted to see how past Padres teams performed in their first 6 games and what that means for the rest of the season. It doesn't look good.

I was chatting with Dex about this data and he came to the conclusion, "when we start out sucky, we end sucky". I told him that even times when we started decent in the first 6 it didn't mean it'd end well. He modified his hypothesis, "when we start out good, we end sucky." Well, not necessarily, I showed him some more data points, he replied "haha all you're telling me is that we're gonna suck." Yeah, I guess I am.

The Padres averaged 2.76 wins in their first 6 games, in their 30 sub .500 seasons. They averaged 3.2 wins in their .500 and above seasons. Only in 1988 did they start 1-5 and finish above .500

The one time when the team started with zero wins was in 1974. The team finished with 60 wins, a 37% winning percentage. When the Padres won one game, they managed to win an average of 43% which would make the season win total average around 70. Two wins averaged 46% and 75 wins. Three wins meant an average of 45% and 72 wins. Four wins averaged 49% and 79 wins. The team only started the first 6 games with 5 wins 4 times. They finished with an average 52% and 85 wins.

First 6 games by Winning %