Adam Dunn for Clay Hensley
Ken Rosenthal mentions Clay Hensley as possible trade bait for Cincinnati's Adam Dunn.
Here's the thing we've got to trade something of value to get something of value. The Reds need pitching and we need an outfielder that can hit for power. Sure it's a risk, but it's a risk trying to win a division without a power bat. We may not even need Clay. You can either have Clay playing in the minors, spot starting and throwing out of the bullpen or you can have Adam Dunn in your line up everyday. If at some point Hensley is brought back up to the Padres bullpen who's to say that Buddy Black would ever even use him. It could be weeks before he even gets to pitch.
We've got pitching talent coming out of our collective asses and we are in desperate need of someone who can hit. With Dunn in the line up not every body would have to get hot at the same time to get the offense rolling. Think of the pitches Adrian Gonzalez would see if he had someone protecting him in the lineup. What would our line up look like?
M. Giles
B. Giles (Cruz)
Gonzalez
Dunn
Cameron
Kouzmanoff
Bard
Khalil
The upside of Dunn is that he has a lot of power and wouldn't have too much trouble hitting balls out of Petco. Adding a power bat to our lineup would make it lethal. The downside is that he'd also have to play outfield in Petco and there is a lot of ground to cover out there. Remember Sledge hasn't been winning any gold gloves in left field either. Dunn also strikes out a ton, his yearly strike out totals are higher than some guys batting averages. He would also become a free agent at the end of the year.
Like I said it's a risk, I think I would make the move if the deal was for Hensley. I'd pass on the deal if it was for Cla Meredith. Cla is a big part of the world's greatest bullpen and if we pull him out it could be like Jenga.
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The problem with that lineup
M. Giles
B. Giles (Cruz)
Gonzalez
Dunn
Bard
Cameron
Kouzmanoff
Khalil
by A Whales Vajayjay on Jun 4, 2007 9:37 PM PDT 0 recs
What about
M. Giles
B. Giles
Dunn
Gonzo
Cameron
Bard
Kouz
Greene
by jburtrum1 on
Jun 4, 2007 10:44 PM PDT
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I wouldnt mind trading Hensley
Also, I've got to think the Yankees will call/have called about Hensley, considering their situation. Who can we take from NY?
by RBS on Jun 4, 2007 9:49 PM PDT 0 recs
I agree
As for the Yankees, maybe Melky Cabrera? Although then I don't know who they'd put in the outfield to replace him, especially since they are talking about putting Damon at 1B since Mienkevitch got hurt.
by sdsuaztec4 on
Jun 4, 2007 11:12 PM PDT
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35-40 homers in petco?
by Dex on
Jun 5, 2007 3:58 AM PDT
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Visiting from Pinstripe Alley
Big bat, obviously, but we're really locked into our lineup as is, especially with Giambi out indefinitely and Damon relegated to DH/1B because of his sore wheels. Every starting position player has a no-trade but Melky and Cano, either by contract or 5&10.
As for trading for bullpen help, I don't see it happening. We've got the arms either on the staff or in the minors, we just need a front office smart enough to force Joe Torre to use them. (Edwar Ramirez has split the season between AA and AAA with 50Ks in 27IP).
We've got some starters who could be 4-5s in the NL to spare, but that's looking more at someone to replace our backup catcher, who is really a folding chair and a pillow in disguise.
by jscape2000 on
Jun 5, 2007 11:18 PM PDT
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Adam Dunn
by metalsupplier on Jun 5, 2007 12:55 AM PDT 0 recs
oops
by metalsupplier on
Jun 5, 2007 12:57 AM PDT
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exactly
make the trade. go for it all this year. worry about filling the holes maddux and wells leave later.
by obviousman on
Jun 5, 2007 4:03 AM PDT
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I'd make the deal for either clay or claw.
Or maybe I just miss Greg Vaughn.
by pjbno4 on Jun 5, 2007 6:21 AM PDT 0 recs
No brainer
I'm guessing KT feels that, with the 'dres pitching, he can get by platooning these guys for a few more weeks while prices for left field sluggers drop somewhat as more teams give up on their seasons. Unless Clay proves himself though, I suspect the Reds would want more though.
by Billy Almon on Jun 5, 2007 6:34 AM PDT 0 recs
Adam Dunn...
Another thing that surprised me is his durability. In that same three season span, Dunn played in 161, 160 & 160 games.
His fielding isn't exactly gold glove material. He had 12 errors in LF in 2006. But in 2005 he only had 5 errors, and 8 errors the season before that. All he needs to know is that anything in the gap is Cam's. Pretty simple.
Dunn is only 27 and his contract has a $13 million dollar club option for 2008.
For the right price (Clay Hensley and maybe a Triple A reliever) I think this would be a great deal for the Padres.
by Drama on Jun 5, 2007 7:40 AM PDT 0 recs
*oops
If Dunn is traded, his $13 million club option for '08 will be voided, making him a free agent at the end of the season, according to a source with knowledge of his contract."
Still a great deal for the Padres.
by Drama on
Jun 5, 2007 7:56 AM PDT
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nice breakdown
in 2006 he threw 187 innings, gave up 174 hits, had a 3.71 ERA and went 11-12. he had a 3.10 ERA at Petco and a 4.34 ERA everywhere else. i would look at that and figure he's going to give me 6 innings a game and have an ERA of 4 or higher (with half his games in a hitters park now instead of a pitchers park). is that worth the best hitter on my team?
also, would ownership approve a trade that is going to add about $10M in payroll this year and possibly more next year? the only trade i can think of where towers was able to add payroll and "go for it" was Perez&Bay for B.Giles. and while towers may be able to rationalize it, i doubt moores can.
by obviousman on
Jun 5, 2007 8:08 AM PDT
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Agreed
But I do think the Padres will spend the money, especially for a short term contract.
by Billy Almon on Jun 5, 2007 8:15 AM PDT 0 recs
the hitter we need
by DCpadre on Jun 5, 2007 8:26 AM PDT 0 recs
this is a great conversation
Would Adam Dunn win us 5 more games? I think so. Would losing Hensley, a pitcher everyone seems to like, be worth it in the long run? Tough call, especially if we only get the rest of this season out of Dunn. and $10mil a year seems a bit high, but if you could resign at $7-8m, (seems unlikely) that would make more sense.
I'm still on the fence.
by RBS on Jun 5, 2007 8:44 AM PDT 0 recs
It is true
I'm still not convinced we need that "big bat".
by ABY on
Jun 5, 2007 9:00 AM PDT
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Big Bat
I wouldn't mind seeing Dunn in San Diego, and if it was a straight up trade for Hensley, I would have a hard time saying no. Yes, it will create holes that will need to be filled next year. Yes, I am sure that at some point either Maddux or Wells will need a break. It is nice having that extra starter to fill in when needed, but I think at this point I would take Dunn's bat.
by osbug on
Jun 5, 2007 10:40 AM PDT
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More Big Bat
by planetjeffy on
Jun 5, 2007 1:38 PM PDT
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F* Dunn
by GoPads on Jun 5, 2007 8:59 AM PDT 0 recs
ichiro
by obviousman on
Jun 5, 2007 9:13 AM PDT
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Dunn
by Rob on Jun 5, 2007 9:41 AM PDT 0 recs
My take
The way I figure it, the Padres are strong enough to win the West this season. Is our offense a weakness? Hardly. To this point in the season, we've scored more runs than St. Louis, Houston and Colorado in a notoriously pitcher friendly park. Also to that end, the offense is only a weakness if it's not scoring more than the other team. Right now, the Padres are the only team in the major leagues to have allowed fewer than 200 total runs in 2007.
I think we have to ask what our goals are. Our goal first and foremost should always be to make it to the postseason, with a division win being preferable. Do we need to have the very best record going into the postseason to make an impact? Not at all. We just need to get there and take our shots. I'm not saying Dunn (or Ichiro) wouldn't help us. I'm just saying that we need to decide how much help we need.
Keep in mind: The World Series isn't necessarily won by the best team in baseball, but it is won by the champions. Do we want to try to put together the best team in baseball? Or do we want to win a championship?
by Dex on Jun 5, 2007 11:16 AM PDT 0 recs
Offense
I also think Dunn would be a great addition to our team, but we have to be careful what we give up. He could make the difference, depending on what we give up. While Hensley is in AAA, I am sure we will see him up at the Majors at some point. Even so, I still think I would pull the trigger on a Dunn - Hensley trade.
by osbug on
Jun 5, 2007 12:46 PM PDT
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Great points
Plus, Hensley is likely to get at least 10 starts this year for the big league club. The dropoff from him to the next best alternative is catastrophic.
by benrb on
Jun 5, 2007 12:59 PM PDT
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power vs contact
by Gone Savage on Jun 5, 2007 11:22 AM PDT 0 recs
"definitely"?
by Dex on
Jun 5, 2007 11:26 AM PDT
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right
Were he on our team now, only Adrian Gonzalez would make fewer outs than Dunn.
I mean, you want Dunn up with the bases loaded, or Juan Pierre?
by pjbno4 on
Jun 5, 2007 11:39 AM PDT
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OK...
by Drama on
Jun 5, 2007 11:51 AM PDT
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I'm not saying Dunn is the solution...
by Rob on
Jun 5, 2007 12:40 PM PDT
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Rosenthal
by Ron Mexico on Jun 5, 2007 11:28 AM PDT 0 recs
Outfielder
by sdsuaztec4 on Jun 5, 2007 12:04 PM PDT 0 recs
HEY!! Watch it RBS!
It's one of the great talents of KT. Finley may be riding the bench soon on a major league team near you.
by The Pickmaster on
Jun 6, 2007 7:09 AM PDT
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O
Still, the Bocachica meter is on 1 and counting!
by Billy Almon on Jun 5, 2007 1:07 PM PDT 0 recs
batting average vs runs
by Dex on
Jun 5, 2007 1:15 PM PDT
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Offense...
by Drama on
Jun 5, 2007 1:26 PM PDT
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i heard
by sdsuaztec4 on
Jun 5, 2007 2:22 PM PDT
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Runs
But 3 runs should win it tonight, which they could get in the first two innings against Schmidt.
by Billy Almon on
Jun 5, 2007 1:42 PM PDT
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Don't forget our run differential
Personally, I wouldn't do Hensley/Meredith for Dunn. I agree that a consistent contact hitter with speed would be better suited for this team. Melky or Matsui would be a much better fit.
by Phantom on Jun 5, 2007 2:17 PM PDT 0 recs
the thing about hensley
I would be happy to have Ichiro as well, don't get me wrong. But Ichiro is like a better Dave Roberts, and the Padres got rid of Roberts precisely because they wanted more power production from the corners, and Ichiro doesn't offer that.
by metalsupplier on Jun 5, 2007 3:02 PM PDT 0 recs
A MUCH better Dave Roberts
by osbug on
Jun 5, 2007 3:19 PM PDT
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I agree that he's better
Ichiro is the superior defender, but Roberts is a very good defensive corner outfielder in his own right. Ichiro is a far better center fielder than Roberts, though.
by metalsupplier on
Jun 6, 2007 12:29 AM PDT
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Dude....
by Drama on
Jun 5, 2007 6:18 PM PDT
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well
Oh, and Roberts cost $1.3 mil and $2.25 mil in 2005 and 2006, while Ichiro cost $12.5 million per year.
And as I said, I would love to have Ichiro on the Padres. He would be a great fit, and money well spent.
by metalsupplier on
Jun 6, 2007 12:32 AM PDT
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metalsupplier
If you watched any of the Padres-Mariners games over the weekend, you couldn't help but dream about seeing Ichiro wearing a San Diego Padres uniform. Ichiro would add an entirely different dimension to the club. His bat is fitted perfectly to Petco. I can hear many of you already starting with the whole money issue. I get that. The chances that the Padres would be the high bidder for his services are very slim. BUT...at some point, for the perfect guy, there is a good possibility the Padres will step up and break the bank. This isn't a Carlos Lee...or for that matter, even an Alfonso Soriano. Ichiro is a Sandy-type guy.
We're going to pay top dollar for a player eventually...it will happen. Here are some reasons why I think he's the guy.
He's a TRUE lead-off hitter. With him at the top of the order, Marcus could move to his natural batting position of 2nd.
His on-base percentage is sick. .377 for his career.
He steals bases. Over the last five seasons, he's averaged over 35 stolen bases. And he's rarely thrown out. He seems to be getting better at it with age. Last season he stole 45 bases and was caught just twice.
His plays EXCELLENT defense. Six seasons...six Gold Gloves. Runners are scared to death to try and run on him. His arm is a rocket...and deadly accurate.
He scores runs. Ichiro finds a way to touch home plate. In his six seasons, he's averaged 111 runs scored. Just to give you something to compare that to...Dave Roberts scored 80 runs for us last season...and that was a career high.
Mike Cameron isn't coming back. There's a reason the Padres cut-off talks with Cameron and his agent. If they wanted him back...he would have got his three-year deal at the end of Spring Training.
Ichiro is as durable as anyone in the game. He's averaged 159.5 games over his first six seasons in the majors.
Playing in San Diego would allow him stay on the West Coast and open incredible international opportunities for the Padres. New revenue streams...immeasurable exposure for the franchise.
I'm not saying this is going to happen...the chances are not in our favor judging by our history. If the Padres decided to finally pull the trigger and spend the cash necessary to sign a true superstar...I can't think of a better fit. Dare to dream, Gaslamp Ballers.
And wouldn't it be great to steal our most hated rivals best player?
by Drama on
Jun 6, 2007 8:34 AM PDT
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Let's also keep in mind.....
by jwood on Jun 5, 2007 3:25 PM PDT 0 recs
speaking of getting lit up in portland
by sdsuaztec4 on
Jun 5, 2007 5:13 PM PDT
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I'm starting to warm up to the Dunn idea
I still heart Ichiro more than anyone else.
But a run producer in the middle of the lineup is something we need now and could get for a reasonable price. He could protect Adrian if hit hit after him. He would get a lot of good pitches to hit if he hit before Adrian.
We DO have a weakness, and it's our offense. We are a good team, we may have enough to win the division, but it takes more than a good team to win a championship, boys. Great teams win it all. We're not there yet, but the addition of a Dunn or similar bat gets us a step closer.
by RBS on Jun 5, 2007 3:52 PM PDT 0 recs
Fortunately for us
by benrb on
Jun 5, 2007 4:43 PM PDT
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what sort of team built like that?
Every team that makes the playoffs has strong pitching. My concern is we don't have the offense to compete with the Mets or Braves or whoever wins the Central.
by RBS on
Jun 5, 2007 10:52 PM PDT
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Yes our team is good enough to make the playoffs
by Rob on
Jun 6, 2007 11:39 AM PDT
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Playoffs
by Ron Mexico on
Jun 7, 2007 12:51 PM PDT
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Trade from the bullpen
But I still don't think Dunn is the guy. He just strikes out too much for my taste. I'd rather have an Aaron Rowand with .319/.387/.887 marks and 76 K's last year. Dunn's already struck out 77 times this year.
Also, I'd just like to say that I love trade rumors.
by JollyWaffle on Jun 5, 2007 4:19 PM PDT 0 recs
Royce Ring aka "Snacks"
Plus, he has a great nickname.
by Dex on
Jun 5, 2007 6:42 PM PDT
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All Wrong
by IdahoPadre on Jun 5, 2007 5:32 PM PDT 0 recs











