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IS KHALIL A BUST?

Two months into the 2007 season, I find myself getting more and more frustrated with the offensive production of Khalil Greene.  Khalil played in only 20 games in the 2003 season, but has been on the major league roster ever since. He's now 27 years of age and has played in 448 games in the big leagues, with 1,584 at-bats.  I think now is as good a time as any to take a hard look at his career thus far in a Padre uniform.  The question I'm putting out there is this: Is Khalil a guy that after battling injuries and a slow start ready to finally take off?  Or is he, like so many others, just another Padre mistake on Draft Day?

Sadly, my confidence in him continues to decline with each horrendous at-bat. Let me preface this by saying there is NO argument as to whether or not Greeney has the glove for this league. There is no doubt. The spinning play from last week, the diving stop last night, the effortless way he makes exceptional plays in the field are impossible to ignore. He is a great defensive shortstop...but is he all leather and no wood?

Batting Average: After last night's oh-fer, Khalil has now dropped all the way down to .214. You can argue he's just in a slump. Fine. But the best batting average he's posted in his career was .273 in 2004. In 2005, it was .250. And last season was .245. Does he have what it takes to be a .300 hitter?

Decline:  Look at the numbers I just gave you again. What's scary is that Khalil isn't improving with each season...he's actually getting worse with each season.  Does the blame lay with the coaching staff or with Khalil?

On base percentage: His is terrible...and it's never been very good. Khalil strikes out way too much...and doesn't walk nearly enough. In 187 at-bats this season, he's walked just 10 times.

Speed:  Simply put, he doesn't have any. He has 14 stolen bases in his career. He hasn't even made an attempt this season. Because of his lack of speed, he hits into far too many double-plays.

Power: Khalil is good for around 30 doubles and 15 HR's a season. Not terrible, but not great either.  I know some of you are thinking Petco and that's fair. Let's talk about Petco.

Petco Park: Khalil is awful at home. The numbers do not lie. In his first three full seasons he hit .236 at home and .277 on the road. In 2007, the difference has grown even wider. In almost the same number of at-bats, Khalil is batting .275 on the road...and just .161 at Petco. In 93 home at-bats, Greeney has drawn 3 walks and stuck out 21 times.

Injuries: I hate to even bring it up again...but it's impossible to ignore. Khalil has only played in 121 games in each of the last two seasons. Which leaves us with a Geoff Blum-type player starting the other 40 or so games. Can he withstand a full season in the majors? Is he capable of giving us 150 games or more?

As it looks right now, we have a starting shortstop with a history of injury problems that can't hit for average, has no speed, not much power, can't hit in his home park and can't get on base. BUT...his glove is amazing. Is that good enough? Is he on the verge of putting everything into place? We don't exactly have a potent offense...and it's difficult to continue to justify having an offensive black hole in the shortstop position for much longer.  I hate to create a hole just to have to turn around and fill it...but if KT gets the right offer around the trading deadline and Khalil hasn't improved...is he gone?

This FanPost was written by a member of the Gaslamp Ball community and does not necessarily reflect the views of the Gaslamp Ball managers or SB Nation.

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Thanks
for being another fair weather fan. I'm sure you didn't say anything about Kooz in April, you knew it all along. What happends when Greene goes on another hot streak? Will you be here ripping him again?

And I agree with you, numbers don't lie, but they don't tell the whole truth either. Look at this kid named Heath Bell. Crap numbers in New York minor league system = Stud in Bigs! Boy, I'm glad that our scouts didn't look at it from a numbers perspective or we'd still be looking at Woody Williams still. Love your post

by GoPads on May 30, 2007 9:52 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Your welcome...
I'm not going to say I KNEW anything about Kouz...but I did argue here that he did not have enough at-bats to judge him fairly. Greene does, and I'm trying to take a fair look at what he has done so far and hear some opinions. I love this team as much as anyone...but I'm not going to cheer blindly.

Another thing, the acquisition of Heath Bell was based partly on stats. From an article in the U-T on May 29, 2007:

"Towers gave an example, saying the acquisition of Mets reliever Heath Bell came about partly because two of the club's analysts, Jeff Kingston and Paul DePodesta, made a statistical case that Bell's unappealing ERAs with the Mets were deceptive. Towers, further empowered by scouting reports, pursued Bell last summer and got him from Mets GM Omar Minaya last November. Bell has given the Padres a 1.20 ERA, adding depth to a league-leading bullpen."

by Drama on May 30, 2007 10:28 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Does that welcome belong to him?
Or did you mean "YOU'RE welcome"?

Wiggins, Chief of Grammar Police

Wiggins: Voted "Creepiest Gaslamp Baller" by his fans.

by wiggins4ever on May 30, 2007 12:36 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

You're*
Sorry, Wiggins.

by Drama on May 30, 2007 12:37 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

So
What exactly are your reasons for keeping Khalil around?  Because he might go on "another hot streak?"  Amidst your sarcasm, you didn't give a single reason.

And for the record - I think anyone that hangs out around here regularly would tell you that Drama was one of Kooz's biggest supporters in April.

   

by Winfield's Ghost on May 30, 2007 10:30 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Wait a minute, GoPads
Hold the phone, here. I think it's terribly unfair to accuse 'fairweather fan' here.

Even when Khalil runs into one (which is his only offensive upside) it's usually in the middle of a ~220 batting average and terrible OBP. In fact, I'd argue that Khalil has been so consistently poor that it's hard to even be fairweather - he hits well with as much frequency as good hitters go into occasional slumps.

The truth is that Khalil has been an inconsistent hitter his entire career. He's got power, but can't control it on a regular basis. You don't need to "just look at numbers" to realize that.

I dont think anybody here is looking at Khalil "purely from a numbers perspective," (even though  thats a totally valid perspective) it's just that when you count up the Pro's and Con's, Khalil's poor performance everywhere but defensively at shortstop starts to pile up.

The real question is - how much longer do we give Khalil to become a consistent offense presence?

If you disagree, and you think that Khalil's offense is better than represented here - or you think his defense is so much better that it outweighs his poor offense - say that. I'd be interested to hear your arguments as to why Khalil is a keeper. Don't put together a half assed post with a few drunk-guy-at-the-party accusations and no real substance.

I like Khalil as much as everybody else when he's hitting for extra base hits, but the problem is that he consistently cannot maintain any good offensive numbers.

Personally, I dont think the Padres will ever part with him because we're too afraid that somebody else can teach him to consistently harness his power.

by Brad on May 30, 2007 11:27 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I think you
hit it on the head with that last line.

by ABY on May 30, 2007 11:30 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Hold on
and let me put my beer down. I'm sooo hammered! My double vision is showing me that his numbers on the decline.

But if you look what's behind that, I believe that there were injuries that caused them. And his injuries were not a pulled hamstring or a torn muscle like the rest of the majors, but a rare digit break, which most likely effected his swing. So, I'd just like to say that numbers don't show everything like your boy Drama says. (Look at his post)

I'm sure that you were telling Cal to give it up everytime he went into a slump. And called out Gwynn at the end of his career because he was a liability in the outfield and totally forgot that it's a game. Be sure to start your next post with "I can't believe the Pads won't spend more money on the team!" and then look at the last 2 years and FORGET that they won the NL West and are in a tight battle for the division lead AGAIN with or without Greeney.

I'm going back to my beer now and continue to enjoy the game of baseball... even thou there are those who live in a perfect world where every SS hits .350 and 74 HRs

by GoPads on May 30, 2007 12:03 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Really??
Did you really just put Khalil Greene in the same sentence with Cal Ripken and Tony Gwynn? Really?

Enough with the "numbers don't show everything" crap. We ALL know that. I'm just saying it's time for us to take a look at his numbers in an intelligent manner and decide where to go from here.

Did his injuries make an impact on his numbers in 2005 and 2006? Of course they did. But what is the excuse now? From everything I've read he's 100% healthy. Why is he hitting .214 now?

Yes, we all realize the Padres are back-to-back NL West Champs...but some of us here would like to see us do a little damage in October as well.

We don't need him to hit .350 or jack 74 HR's. But it sure would be nice to see the kid take a walk on occasion and hit .270.

by Drama on May 30, 2007 12:20 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I keep on forgetting
that you know more than Towers. Good call. I'm sure you have more stats than anyone else on the planet. I also forgot that ball players can't go on slumps OR non-professional ball players/ bloggers will write how they should get rid of them. That makes you right. I'll keep drinking my beers while you complain about a slump, sorry Greeney isn't batting .400. You win. And don't forget, all players go on a slump but not all players can be dynamic on defense.

by GoPads on May 30, 2007 1:31 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

btw
I, in fact, knew you were being sarcastic, which is why I busted out with some sarcasm of my own.

Also, I agree with you that Khalil deserves the support. The headline Drama wrote was a little bombastic. With all of the criticism, I honestly don't see another shortstop that would be readily available that I'd want over Khalil. People don't give enough credit to defense because there hasn't every been an effective measure of it.

If Khalil were hitting .322 but not stopping anything defensively, we'd be wondering if we can afford having a hole at shortstop (which incidentally, we can't).

by Dex on May 30, 2007 1:37 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Nice
That was well put. The shortstop everybody wants is out there I think, but his name is A-Rod and he hasn't played short in a few years.

The performance we are getting right now from Greene is unacceptable, but don't forget he is doing the same thing Kouz and Cameron did, but in reverse.

by osbug on May 30, 2007 1:44 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

"Bombastic"
Dex is 100% right. The headline was meant to be bombastic. I wanted to get people hooked and get them to read it. I was hoping to get a good, intelligent conversation going.

by Drama on May 30, 2007 2:51 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Intelligent conversation?
Here?  Really?  Attempting to raise the bar at GLB is always a dangerous proposition.

by Winfield's Ghost on May 30, 2007 4:23 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

re: GoPads
Because I'm asking valid questions you assume I think I know more than Towers? Our front office is spectacular. How they keep us in the thick of things with a payroll so much lower than other clubs is something that always amazes me.

Having said that, if you don't think Khalil's struggles are a concern to the front office...well, then you haven't been paying attention. There are certain things that Sandy Alderson values very highly in a baseball player and on-base percentage and durability are two that rank right up there. Khalil is lacking in both.  

I'm curious as to just what you base your argument on in Khalil's defense. With Kouz, he's just a baby and barely has any at-bats in the majors to make any kind of judgement on him. With Cam, you've got a veteran player that seems to get off to a slow start every season yet always rebounds to get up to his usual numbers. But what are you basing your defense of Greeney on? What has he proved at the plate? Nothing. Are you basing this on what he did to ACC pitching with an aluminum bat six years ago?

To be clear, I'm not saying we trade Greeney right away. I'm just saying it's something that needs to be looked at. I hope he rebounds, gets his numbers up and plays in 150 games for seasons to come.

by Drama on May 30, 2007 2:47 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Okay, maybe we all need a beer here.
Can we tone the hostility down a bit? You seem awfully angry - I understand you're sort of under fire from a lot of people here, but your negative attacking tone sort of brought that on.

As I've said, if you want to make coherent arguments (like the argument that injuries have caused his numbers to be low), I'm anxious to hear those. But you're coming off as feisty and angry, and it's hard to hear your reasoning.

For the record, I am not a fairweather fan. The argument that the team needs a bat in the lineup isn't exactly heresy - we have the best pitching but the near-worse offense (hits, average, ops, you name it...) in the league. If the team wants to improve, which all teams always do, it's in the area of hitting. Again, this shouldn't come as a surprise.

Nobody expects Greeney to hit .350 with 75 homers. But I don't think it's unreasonable to hope he lowers the walks an gets on base a bit more and hits more consistently. In fact, it's not an unreasonable request - it's been asked of Greeney ever since day one.

Anyway - back to the issue at hand.

How long does it normally take for a player to recover from a digit break? At what point do we look at Khalil and start to worry that he won't recover from said digit break?

Offhand, I remember Loretta broke his thumb sliding into first and I don't recall it affecting his swing all that much (though firstly, I'm only going off memory, secondly, Loretta may have been an aberration).

by Brad on May 30, 2007 2:04 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Actually
I think it's unreasonable to hope he lowers the walks.
"At the end, excitement maintained its hysteria." - Jerry Coleman

by TheGrandHatching on May 30, 2007 2:14 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

erm - yeah =)
Right - I meant "lower the strikeouts" :)

by Brad on May 30, 2007 4:33 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Lets face it
this is baseball. Yes!  I will take a sure gloved outstanding shortstop with little offensive production any day of the week. Twenty years ago that was the standard until the likes of Ripken, Nomar, Jeter, and A-rod came along. If he keeps making defensive plays like he did the other night and can stay heathy he is a padre for life.
T. Gwynn is my phat daddy but Cal Jr. is my Baby Daddy

by Cal is my baby daddy on May 30, 2007 10:01 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Im an expert...
I'm an expert on being fairweather. Since the loss last night I have put my away replica jersey on ebay. If we win tonight, I'll probably buy it back from myself.

That said, I don't think Drama is being fairweather at all. That was a thoughtful post questioning a serious issue with our team. I happen to agree that there is a question mark when it comes to the production (or lack of production) from Khalil. Simply put, do you keep investinging in someone who is a tremendous defensive player and a below average offensive player? Does it even out?

by fairweather on May 30, 2007 10:02 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Oh yeah!
This reminds Wiggins...

Hey everyone: look for Wiggins' new hit single coming soon, with back up band Buck-0-Nine. It's called "The Man With the Plan? (None Other Than Wiggins)"

Wiggins: Voted "Creepiest Gaslamp Baller" by his fans.

by wiggins4ever on May 30, 2007 12:38 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

We shoud worry
about the positions and players that are supposed to be productive and have not been (B. Giles) and not worry about a guy who manufactures a lot of outs for us.
T. Gwynn is my phat daddy but Cal Jr. is my Baby Daddy

by Cal is my baby daddy on May 30, 2007 10:08 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Evolve with the game folks
It is no becoming a must to have a sure handed SS WHO CAN ALSO HIT...Jeter, Guillen.

What about the prospects in the league that are what we want Khalil to be (minus some points for the absolutely fabolous play at Short by Khalil)...

-JJ Hardy
-Jose Reyes

I can see the argument though, which is better.  DO we trade for a guy like Johnny Peralta that can crush balls but plays an average to sub-average SS?

Do we take a guy like Adam Everett or Omar Vizquel and get a .240 average/.300 slg in return.

My take...we keep Khalil and ANY offensive production is a bonus.

However, that being said, he was a number one draft pick, he was a highly touted prospect, he is IN FACT expected to perform with his bat as well.  The guy was not a phenom at Clemson for nothing.

Expecations of a guy can often be their downfall, despite what is "realistically" expected of them.

by bktabinga on May 30, 2007 10:44 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

i seemed to have contradicted myself
saying we need power AND defense out of SS.

But anyhow, another interesting point, Merv did state that Petco's dimensions, and the wind/weather effects affect Khalil moreso than any other hitter in the Pads lineup.

by bktabinga on May 30, 2007 10:47 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

on point...
Back in the day being a light hitting, strong with the glove middle infielder was acceptable, but the game has changed.  I've been a huge KG fan since his college days and was stoked to see the Pads snag him in the draft, but my support is wavering too.  For me it's just not his lack of offensive production... it's his demeanor.  I want more guys Marcus Giles who get pumped up and maul teammates after a HR (and get ejected!).  It may be a time for a change at SS!

Solid post.

by jdub on May 30, 2007 10:21 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Tough One
I love the glove.  I love fantastic fielding shortstops.  There aren't enough of them in MLB.  And I have no idea statistically what kind of worth a guy who fields like that has.  (Richard?)    

But given the Jekyll and Hyde nature of the Pads offense, I think KT and Sandy would have to listen to offers for someone who can produce more offensive at the position, particularly after we've seen that he struggles to hit in the 81 games a yr he plays in Petco.  You don't give him away, but you certainly poke around and see what's out there.  

by Winfield's Ghost on May 30, 2007 10:41 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Kh-man
I agree with most of this but not the assessment of
'not much power.'  Doesn't he already have the most homeruns by a Padres shortstop?  

I know the game has changed since Almon and Champion were a hot young double play combo, but if Khalil could hit .240 with 15-20 hrs, 80 rbi, and 30 doubles, and maybe get thrown out of one game per year, I wouldn't complain.    

by Billy Almon on May 30, 2007 10:42 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

he gets thrown out
and I will not only shout in joy, I will send that video to a Bahian faith priest to have him "ex-communicated" or whatever the equivalent is..maybe then we'll get some emotion out of him.

by bktabinga on May 30, 2007 10:49 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

.240?
you'd be satisfied with a shortstop hitting .240? That's embarrassing. I'm not expecting an MVP type player at short, but .240 will not get it done. No way he knocks in 80 runs hitting .240. I'd be satisfied with  .275.

by RBS on May 30, 2007 12:34 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

2005
In 2005 he knocked in 70 Runs hitting .250 over 121 games. You project that out to 140 games and you have 81 RBI. Don't forget RBI are a product of circumstance. Just look at Joe Carter back in the day.

Is Adam Everett emmbarasing? He is one of the best defensive shortstops the game has seen in awhile, but is only a .246 career hitter. Where does the tradeoff begin between defense and offense? Do you want Jeter who has a great bat but is a below average shorstop?

I am not completely disagreeing with you. I think Greene is hitting well below what his potential is. But I also think the expectations are too high for him.

by osbug on May 30, 2007 1:31 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

agreed
I've been saying for the last 2 years that Khalil is a bust.  Simply put, the guy cannot hit a breaking ball (unless it's hanging).  If that doesn't scream "minor-league bat", nothing does.

Before last year I was lobbying for us to sign Nomar and put him at 3B (the funny thing is, everyone's objection was that Nomar wouldn't switch from SS) and trade Khalil for Edgar Renteria (remember, before he came back strong last year everyone thought he was finished).  I'm not saying I can scout a player better than anyone else can, but it's really easy to see that Khalil can hit fastballs and changeups when he's sitting on them and not much else.

His personality throws a wrench into the mix too.  Do you think he freaks out his teammates a little bit?  Is he so wrapped up in his own world that he takes no advice from coaches?  (My logic on that is that nobody would say "you can't seem to hit breaking balls, so we're going to open your stance so much that you'll be like Tony Bautista")

I'd bail on him while his stock is still high, but I don't know if it actually is.  With Alderson and Depodesta having hands in this roster's make-up, I doubt he stays much longer (they value walks but not fielding).  Doesn't his contract end soon?

by John (obviousman) on May 30, 2007 10:53 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Contract....
He's arbitration eligible for 2008 and 2009. A free agent for 2010.

His stock isn't as high as it has been...but KT can point to his glove and his offensive production on the road...essentially blaming Petco for his poor numbers at home.

by Drama on May 30, 2007 11:04 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

The punch line...
He just might be the best shortstop we've ever had. That's sort of a defense of Khalil, but not really...

by Geoff on May 30, 2007 11:05 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

KhalilBot 1.0
Khalil will only get better with time. Power and speed are less an issue than health and average. He is a big time streak hitter now and probably will be his entire career, but what I feel he needs to prove now is that he can play 150 plus games a year.

As far as getting thrown out of a game. What in the hell could Khalil possibly do to get thrown out?? He would have to show some kind of human emotion and passion.

Maybe one of the the Giles' could push him into the ump.

Or yell something from the dugout and everyone point at Greeny?

Some things are just too much to ask for!

Afterall, he is only....human?  

THAT is why they call me...

by The Pickmaster on May 30, 2007 11:12 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Khalil is not a bust
Khalil's career EQA is at .265, the league average is .260, so offensively he is slightly above average, (this is compared to all batters not just shortstops where he is in  the top 1/3 of the league).   What is impressive is that by having Khalil in the lineup you get an extra 5 wins a season compared to the average starting mlb shortstop.

Defensively he saves on average 60 runs a season compared to the standard starting MLB shortstop.  This season he has already saved 22 runs.

While he isn't Honus Wagner, he is solid offensivly and his defense makes him a commodity.

Interesting enough his most comparable player offensively at the same age is Jeff Kent (????)

by Ron Mexico on May 30, 2007 11:23 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

ahh yes...
waiting for someone to put his defensive support into tangible numbers.

now back to my original contention, didn't we draft him to be a defensive AND offensive stud.

If were expecting defense and maybe a little offense, than we got what we wanted.

Maybe we should have managed our expectations of him producing Jeterlike numbers a little better.

IMO, Khalil in your lineup is better than Khalil without.

by bktabinga on May 30, 2007 11:27 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Jeter Like?
Wouldn't that be great offense and below average defense? I think with the park we play in, great defense and average offense (from his position) is a bigger benefit to us.

I agree that he isn't what we expected, but I think we expected too much. This whole thread sounds like the discussion we had about Cameron. As much as we wish it were so, shortstops that are great defensively and offensively are not very common, just like cetnerfielders that are great defensively and offensively. You are goin to have to sacrifice somewhere.

by osbug on May 30, 2007 11:38 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

we are americans...
me me me I I I want want bigger bigger better better me me me

by bktabinga on May 30, 2007 11:39 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Kent makes sense...
I still think his career numbers will look sort of like a cross between Rich Aurilia and Jose Valentin. Not a HOFer, but pretty useful. Still, the .252 OBP is terrible.

by Geoff on May 30, 2007 12:35 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

.252 OBP
Good for 15th (last) among active NL shortstops with at least 150 AB.  Of that crowd, only David Eckstein has fewer walks...well, only 2 fewer in 32 fewer AB.

You don't want to see how he compares in this respect when you bring in the AL shortstops.

His strikeouts obviously pretty miserable, so some plate disclipine is something we'd all like to see Greeney work on.  Sometimes he just looks foolish on sliders/curves low and away.

"At the end, excitement maintained its hysteria." - Jerry Coleman

by TheGrandHatching on May 30, 2007 1:52 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Power
Also, in regards to power, out of his 40 hits this year, 24 of them were for extra bases. If it's not speed getting him to second and third, then it must be power.

by Dex on May 30, 2007 11:25 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Triples....
"Getting him to second"...yes. But let's not overstate the triples here. He's had 12 in his entire career. Two in 2005 and two in 2006.  Even Piazza had a triple last season.

by Drama on May 30, 2007 11:37 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

KG
I don't disagree with anything Drama said.  But to be successful, you don't have to have mashers 1-8 in your lineup.  Even if Khalil hasn't turned into what we all hoped and thought he would be, he's still very valuable.

Think of all the shortstops we've been through that couldn't throw the ball, or hit even worse.  

Maybe I'm more of a traditionalist and think you have to get more production out of all of your corners before you start worrying about your shortstop.  

If the Padres can build the rest of their lineup Khalil will benefit from better pitches to hit.  Imagine the day when he's the 5th or the most dangerous hitter in the lineup instead of the 2nd.

Plus, he'll be cheaper if he keeps up at the rate he's going, leaving more money for other positions.

by FUBYU on May 30, 2007 11:43 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Very tough
I agree with ABY that Brad's last line is probably the key here. I think in my mind that this is his last year to prove himself offensively with us. For whatever reason some players just don't succeed in certain places and the change triggers something. Lord knows we have benefited from that on the pitching side all the time! Why can't we create and nurture hitters though? Can we lay that all on coaching? I don't think that would be fair since we have now had a full turnover of coaches and still there is no change in KG.

Bottom line for me - it would not break my heart if he was traded. My preference would be for him to prove all of us wrong of course since he is such a defensive wizard. So, I have not given up - but I am not 100% in his camp either.

Christina

by Christina on May 30, 2007 11:46 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

I'm totally with you on this Christina
This season should be Khalil's merry go round in San Diego, unless he breaks out.

He's not a championship caliber shortstop. This is the same argument I've used to show that Cameron needs to go.

I don't see that Padres winning a championship with that kind of production from short. That said, he certainly still has an opportunity to turn it around, and I hope he does.

I think I'd need to see .280/15/75 in 150 games played to bring Khalil back again next year.

by RBS on May 30, 2007 12:45 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Fair enough
But what would it take for him to prove himself offensively?

by osbug on May 30, 2007 1:32 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

For Christina
I know what RBS wants =)

by osbug on May 30, 2007 1:33 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I'm not stats driven
which seems contradictory since I am a numbers geek by trade! However, with baseball it's more - as a fan - about feeling GOOD about a hitter when he comes up. Last season and this, more often than not, when he comes up, I am down, not up and optimistic. Strikeouts are killing him! Drama did highlight that very well. It's like he is not a very smart hitter. Like he does not know how to adjust.
Shoot, they just said it on the radio last night when he struck out in his first at bat on an off speed pitch. I don't remember the exact quote, but it was something like "Greene is susceptible to those types of pitches and the League knows it. He still has not gotten the hang of how to handle those or lay off them." Now, to me that says a LOT. After 4 years he has not figured it out? I really don't think you can blame injuries on that. Even so, his injuries are not THAT bad.
I think you made a comparison upthread to our holding out hope for Kouz and Cam. Kouz is a 1st year starting rookie - he deserves a break and some space. Cam is a proven veteran who throughout his career has had horrendous starts. So there was an overall feeling of optimism that these guys would/could shake it off. With KG? Eh. I HOPE so, but the track record has not proven that my hope is in the right place.
Someone else said he's a "streaky" hitter. Yes, but clearly with those lifetime stats, he has much longer down streaks than up! Being streaky does not excuse overall low production.

Bottom line - I want him to prove that my faith in him is not misplaced. This is the year to do that. Bring that BA and OBP back up closer to that first year (the downward slides each year are a concern). Stay healthy. Be a smart hitter. Reduce strikeouts. Not too much to ask eh? ;->

Christina

by Christina on May 30, 2007 2:00 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

...about feeling good..
classic liberal mantra.

 I love it.

by RBS on May 30, 2007 2:33 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Nice answer
One thing though, a finger injury might not seem like much, but it is probably devastating to a hitter. I agree that seeing him move back towards his early batting numbers would be nice, but I don't think it will happen. I think his .273avg/.349obp from 2004 was mostly due to his batting primarily in the 8th spot. It is hard NOT to walk hitting there in the national league, and I think that is reflected in his 53 walks that year. I am not going to do the math right now, but I am guessins if you upped his walks to a comparable level in 2005 and 2006, his avg and obp would be close to his 2005 numbers. Until he learns to walk more (or not strikeout as much), I feel he is going to be a career .250, 20HR hitter, with great defense. Unless...he leaves Petco. I agree that a change of scenery MIGHT help his offense. The problem is, if we move him, we better get someone whose offense can make up for the plunge in defense that will come with his departure. I don't think we will replace him defensively, and I don't think we will improve to much offensively in that slot.

I don't think moving him with what is out there right now will help us. Move him back to the eight spot and let him be a great shortstops with spots of brilliant hitting. Phantom made a nice post towards the bottom of the thread, and I think we would regret seeing him leave. Make changes elsewhere.

by osbug on May 30, 2007 2:53 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

And the Padres are built
on pitching and defense. Sorry it's like watching the Ravens play on Sunday.

by GoPads on May 30, 2007 12:07 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Plus...
He doesn't smile. WACK.

Wiggins says Khalil needs to lay off the bud and get in the game!

Wiggins: Voted "Creepiest Gaslamp Baller" by his fans.

by wiggins4ever on May 30, 2007 12:32 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Wiggins forgot to add...
As of now, Khalil might as well be named "Chris Gomez."
Wiggins: Voted "Creepiest Gaslamp Baller" by his fans.

by wiggins4ever on May 30, 2007 12:40 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

But...
he actually has range.

by FUBYU on May 30, 2007 2:12 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Chris Gomez...
One of the most underrated shortstops the Padres have ever had on the team.

by Dex on May 30, 2007 2:17 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Gomie
He was Khalil Greene with no range and no power.  He made the routine play every time, and that's about all you could say for him.  He may be an underrated Padre, but that's b/c we don't have anything to compare him too.

Gomez was not even in the same class as Templeton or Ozzie (just his Padre years).

by FUBYU on May 30, 2007 3:58 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Don't forget, folks but....
we made it to the show with a Chris Gomez. And Gomez isn't even in the same league as Khalil. Routine plays?? What game were you watching Friday??
THAT's why they call me...

by The Pickmaster on May 30, 2007 7:54 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Slump
Yes, Khalil is in a slump, but he as we know is a streaky hitter.  He will break out of it and start hitting doubles again.  His glove and arm makes up for his lack of offense.  If you had a lot of big hitters I could see the complaints, but do we even have anyone hitting over 300!  I have to disagree with the lack of speed.  He runs pretty fast making some of his singles into doubles and he's not the only one hitting into double plays.  I have seen him throw his helmet down the dugout stairs when he gets out. He is a big crowd favorite, if they traded him, I know of at least a couple season tix holders that would not get them anymore!!!

by KGGirl3 on May 30, 2007 12:42 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Don't get me wrong...
I think his defensive prowess still outweighs the lack of offense (for now at least) IF he stays healthy.
I was just saying that was an excellent point about being afraid someone else could get him to perform - remember last year, part of the argument for getting wells was because the dodgers were interested in him and they already had 3 starters with rings...

As for speed, I can't imagine anyone who moves like that on the field isn't able to have speed on base, but you are right (drama), I don't think I've ever seen it!  Maybe it is more a fear of re-injuring the digits that he's reluctant to steal.
It's not a matter of being fairweather or disloyal gopads, it's business.  If this team wants to improve, if we want to get to the post-season AND beyond, kg could be considered a legitimate question mark.  
IF, he does have to go, he would make better trade bait sooner than later...

by ABY on May 30, 2007 12:56 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

horrible pitch selection
Watching his at-bats lately, it seems like he's ALWAYS taking the first pitch. And far more often than not, the best pitch of the at-bat is the one pitch he DOESN'T swing at.

Aggressiveness at the plate might do him some good.

by trspencer on May 30, 2007 1:08 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Maybe...
The front office knew he wasn't going to be the stud they once thought and that is why they selected Matt Bush when they did?

by Rob on May 30, 2007 1:15 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

This thread has got me to join the board
Let me preface all of this by saying that Khalil is without a doubt my favorite player on this team. My entire family has Khalil jerseys. My parents have been season tix every year at Petco and were season tix holders at Qualcomm from 82 - 93 (the fire sale didn't end our tix, my growing up and playing sports did).

As many have pointed out, Khalil's defense more than makes up for his offensive struggles. Although every position in baseball is now supposed to mash, SS will porbably remain a light hitting position for years to come. Khalil's defense is just flat out incredible and I know that having him at short has got to boost the confidence of our pitching staff.

Offensively, Khalil is more valuable than people give him credit for. In 17 more ABs this year, Khalil has GIDP just once more than Brian Giles. Last year, Khalil ranked third on the team in GIDP behind Brian Giles and Adrian Gonzales. People have already extolled his XBH virutes as well as his streakiness.

Which brings me to real problem with Khalil's offensive stats as a Padre. If others on our team were hitting like they did last year (B. Giles, M. Cameron, J. Bard), Khalil's struggles would be patently less obvious. In fact, because our lineup lacks a great deal of potency, whenever anybody struggles (be it Cameron, Giles, Kouz, or Khalil), it becomes instantly magnified.

Before he got hurt last year, Khalil led all NL SS in RBI and he was second in HR.

As for Khalil's attitude, or lack thereof, I personally think that this is what has endeared him to the city. He's shown a penchant for making incredible plays without wanting to bask in the glory of his plays. Fans genuinely seem to appreciate his demeanor and love the way he goes about his game. It's even become a little hobby of people to try to get him to smile.

From everything I've ever read, the teammates love Khalil. They trust him to do his job and he does it without making a fuss. I know that he's fairly close to Blum (which shouldn't be held against him) and I even remember Kouz saying that Khalil was one of the people he was hanging out with when he joined the team.

All of this boils down to the overall impact of Khalil on the San Diego Padres, from a playing and a marketing perspective. Marketing wise, he's one of the most popular players on the team (just look around the Padres store in Western Metal, especailly the Nike section for the giant posters) and a photo of him diving is prominently featured on one of the panoramic posters leading into the park from the Gaslamp.

As a player, he's probably been one of the best SS the Padres have ever had. As Geoff pointed out, while that's not saying much, it's still something. I've discussed this with my parents numerous times, and they think that trading Khalil because of his lack of offensive pop would be akin to what the Padres did when they traded Ozzie Smith in the 80s. My parents claimed that a lot of people lamented shipping Ozzie off afterwards as he was an exciting player to watch and he made you want to come to the ballpark.

In conclusion, I think it's ludicrous to call Khalil Greene a bust. If you're looking for a bust, how about Brian Giles, whose never been the player he was with Pittsburgh? I think that it would be devastating to the fanbase to trade someone like Khalil and I think the pitching staff would lament losing him out there. Khalil is a streaky hitter, but he has never let his offense affect his defense. He will never be a significant offensive threat, but that's not his role on this team and it never has been. If the supporting cast around him were improved, Khalil's leage average offense (as pointed out by his EQA) wouldn't be a factor.

by Phantom on May 30, 2007 2:11 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Additionally
There's another point that I wanted to make, but I was a little fired up and skipped over it.

Being an out-of-towner, I have MLB.TV. Because of Cox's inability to make deals with anybody, I almost always get the other team's broadcast when I watch games. I also have XM Radio, so I get home team annoucners for our away games. Almost unilaterally, Khalil is referred to by these announcers as "our fine young shortstop," "a future gold glover," "one of the best defensive SS in baseball." Very few of them snicker when he strikes out or hits into a double play. Almost every announcer I've ever heard speak about Khalil has praised him. Heck, even when he was injured last year, they made a point of identifying his injury as a negative to the team.

The bottom line is that it seems we're always too ready to ship off our guys that other teams would gladly take in a heartbeat. There's got to be a reason that other teams want him, right?

Also, as for the offense vs. defense stats, let's take Adam Dunn, the K king. Dunn's well known for his power, but he is a similar offensive player to Khalil (yes, I realize this is a tenuous comparison as Dunn's OBA is much higher). But Dunn is atrocious in the field. Would we want something similar out of our SS? Someone who hits lots of bombs but Ks a ton and can't field his position?

If the team traded Khalil, I'd still be a fan, I'd still try to make my 15 to 20 games a year. Would I be sad? Hell yeah. I feel like I've gotten to watch him grow (some of you would argue he's done nothing of the sort) and I've developed a genuine affection for him. It's like Steve Finely. I'll never boo Fins and I'll always hope he does well because he was the kind of guy that gave everything he had and played hard. I don't think many people would argue that Khalil doesn't play hard. He goes about his job the right way and it's been a delight watching him play these past four years.

by Phantom on May 30, 2007 2:41 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Phantom
Excellent comments. Welcome.

by Drama on May 30, 2007 2:48 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I second that
Good comments. But, to me, the fact that he hits pretty darn well away from Petco means that he might actually be more valuable to someone else (Colorado?). If that is the case, and we can get a great trade, I think it would be hard not to pull the trigger. Like I said above though, you better have a way to fill the defensive gap.

by osbug on May 30, 2007 2:56 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Thanks for the kind words
I don't think Colorado would go for him (Tulowitzki) unless Atkins gets traded and they tried to convert Khalil.

Khalil just provides a dynamic force when he's on the field. Something like that would be hard to replace. Also, despite his recent struggles, Khalil is tied with Marcus and Adrian for the team lead in runs scored. Clearly, he has gotten on when it mattered. He ranks second in RBI to Adrian and he is also second on the team in HR.

by Phantom on May 30, 2007 3:14 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Heh
I meant he would be more useful to Colorado just because of his ludicrous career numbers there so far. If we are going to trade him, send him somewhere we don't have to see him often.

by osbug on May 30, 2007 3:22 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

welcome aboard!
glad to have you.

by RBS on May 30, 2007 3:04 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Phantom
I love your comments!!!!
Great job.

by KGGirl3 on May 30, 2007 3:10 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Yes...
He is a bust to my fantasy baseball team!  Waiver wire anyone?

by Rob on May 30, 2007 3:14 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Matt Bush is a bust
To say he's a "bust" is out of line. This isnt the NBA, where every top ten pick better go on to an all star career. Given the inexact science that is the amateur mlb draft, youre lucky to get any useful players within your draft.
Matt Bush is a bust, the guys heating like 2.20 in a ball in his 3RD YEAR. Khalil, at his worst, is a phenomonal SS with a mediocre bat. Considering he was the 13th pick and not the first, I'd say hes far from a bust.
I'd love to face this guy every time i come to the park....and go 0-3

by Dinosaur on May 30, 2007 3:17 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

AVG Splits
Time for my 2 cents.

If you look at Home and Away Splits, Greene has hit 41 points higher Away in the 2004-2006 seasons, and this season he has hit over 100 points higher on the road. I know there is the "PETCO factor" or whatever but his struggles at Home are far worse than anyone else. The team has recently shown signs of figuring out PETCO eg. like 20+ Homers or whatever we hit on the homestand. He hasn't shown any life at all. Is it Petco, or is it nervousness about performing in front of the home crowd? I don't know.

I also don't know how I feel about him. Ya, he makes some plays that look pretty on Baseball Tonight on ESPN but sometimes I think thats all hes good for. He went 0-15 on the homestand, and 0-4 again last night.

He is the shortstop during  our back to back division titles. But also the one who was in the middle of our terrible offense in winning all of 1 game in two playoff trips. He is just another batter in our linep who is leaving runners on base and maybe we need to trade some defense for some offense to take us to the next level. Its something to think about.

by Sam (sdsuaztec4) on May 30, 2007 3:27 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Home/away
Not only does he hit for better average on the road, but quite a bit more power too. The question is, how much defense do you trade for offense to improve the team?

by osbug on May 30, 2007 3:30 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Just a thought...
I'm no statistician, but do you think all of Khalil's great plays make up for his lower on base percentage or other offensive categories?  And, I didn't look this up, but I remember Khalil fielding percentage not being that amazing (just looked it up, 5th in the NL).  Khalil commited 9 errors (playing in less games due to injuries)last year compared to the average of 17.  He was middle of the pack in douple plays and put outs.  Say he makes 25 spectacular plays in a season compared to the shortstop average of 10.  Do all those differences add up to the 30-35 points lower batting average, the 30 points lower OBP, higher strikeouts and lower steals?

by Rob on May 30, 2007 3:44 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

NG 2.5
Female Shop Assistant: Is this some kind of bust?

Lt. Frank Drebin: Well, it's very impressive, yes... but we need to ask you a few questions.

I am part of a team within a team. And the MVP of my team is named Kory.

by Dalton on May 30, 2007 3:47 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Let me be the first to say...
If sixty posts worth of conversation about Greene's benefit to the team is what it takes to get him to run into one with the bases loaded, then I, for one, will be here every game

by Brad on May 30, 2007 6:09 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

More talk about Khalil = more better Khalil bot
Seriously, I think Greenie must have been on here prior to the game.

2 for 3 with 4 RBI and 1 BB, not a bad game.

by Phantom on May 30, 2007 6:12 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

ah crap...
I had benched Khalil on my fantasy team. Craptastic.

by Dex on May 30, 2007 6:11 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Just Trade him now!
Drama's nonsense bores me

by GoPads on May 30, 2007 6:50 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Greeney...
I hate to be the one to bring this up...but KT has to trade Greeney...now. As in, tonight. Think about it...his stock is soaring right now. Pull the trigger, KT!

by Drama on May 30, 2007 6:58 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Lame
like your post. GoPads and go Khalil! And Drama can go on another post about how weak CY was for giving up in the 7th and not going a complete game.

by GoPads on May 30, 2007 8:04 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Umm perhaps a little less venom would be good...
Look, I was pissed as anyone when I read Drama's original post but he/she/they (sorry, I have no idea on gender here) seems to have a good sense of humor about the ironic twist of tonite's game.

I also understand that Drama's post was inflammatory to spur discussion, which was accomplished. Hell, it got me to join the board in the first place.

At any rate, Khalil comes out and shows what he can do. And for anyone doubting Khalil's clutch factor, Geoff posted (at Ducksnorts) his Late and Close splits vs. his career splits and they're practically identical.

by Phantom on May 30, 2007 10:19 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

KG
KG WAS AWESOME TONIGHT!!!!

by KGGirl3 on May 30, 2007 11:26 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

that he was, KGGirl3
that he was. bask in the glory that is Khalil's big game. Soak it in.

by RBS on May 30, 2007 11:31 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

It's just one game.
I like what Khalil's glove does for the team and I don't really know who we could get that would be better, but Drama did make some valid points that don't disappear just because of a couple swings of the bat (against the Pirates, no less). I'm sure even Hitler stopped to pet a puppy at some point.
"I try not to get overly excited... But I am pleased with it..."

by TheThirdGonzalez on May 31, 2007 3:37 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

HA HA
and it WAS on the road, isn't that "expected" of Khalilbot 1.0.

Or is this version 2.0, which means we have yet to beta test at Petco.

by bktabinga on May 31, 2007 5:44 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

omg
I came out of my dance class, jumped in the car and turned on the radio to join the game half-way through...   hahahahahahahahahahaha, I about pissed my pants laughing...

by ABY on May 31, 2007 8:25 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

this sounds strange...
Look, I love the padres. I want to see them win.

And I love khalil. I think I might actually like khalil more than the padres as a whole, because I'd rather see us be moderately successful with him than fantastically successful without him. Do you think it would be as rewarding to be a fan if the team had no struggles? Or would we turn into the braves' fans of the last decade, saddled with such ennui that they can't show up to first round playoff games?

Khalil's first year as a padre was a such a breath of fresh air after having all those other stiffs that I thought we should immediately give him a lifetime contract. And I'm not backing down from that. I'd rather a spectacular grab/throw/double play once a week than 200 hits a year. I don't care about the stats, and this is about the only player in MLB that I will say that about.

Plus, he says things like, "I eat for sustenance, not for pleasure."

by pjbno4 on May 31, 2007 8:28 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

More on Khalil
Yesterday there was a heated discussion on Khalil,which is fine. However i think he proved to us all on wedenesday that his 0-19 was just a slump like all ballplayers have some point in a season, and not an indication of his offensive decline. So far in his career his numbers are not great, but ok. Again,injuries played a large part in that. i dont think we can fairly judge him until he has played a full season healthy. maybe this is the year. i personally think he will be a pretty darned good shortstop. he just happened to be in a slump when this disuccion of being a bust was brought up.

by soulSD on May 31, 2007 2:05 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Personally,
I think his big day in Pittsburgh was the equivilant of a Tony Gwynn 0-4. Not saying get rid of the guy; when you equate the Ozzie Smith factor he does more good than harm. Right now he's a rally killer on both sides of the ball but I'm willing to wait for him to become something other than an instant out.
"I try not to get overly excited... But I am pleased with it..."

by TheThirdGonzalez on Jun 1, 2007 3:48 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Interesting comment from Khalil:
This was from this mornings U-T:

"It's nice to do anything when you are searching and struggling," said Greene. "What frustrates me more than anything is one series I feel comfortable in my approach, then I feel lost."

by Drama on May 31, 2007 2:36 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

sounds like the mantra
who lives and dies by the streak.

maybe he needs to talk to Gwynn and harness the power of the consistent stomach.

by bktabinga on May 31, 2007 3:26 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

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