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Padres get lucky again, beat Giants by like a billion runs

When you win the one run games, that's lucky. When you win by like 6 runs, some consider that a blowout, but in the case of the Padres, it's a lucky blowout.

Let's be honest. If the Padres had to play the Giants like a million times, the Giants very well might win 600,000 times. That's science. The Padres absolutely owning the Giants in 2010? That's luck.

When Jonathan Sanchez made the prediction that the Giants would sweep the weekend series, take first place, and never look back... He was using science and mathematics to come up with that information. And I admit it. He was probably right. Scientifically, his prediction should have come through, but instead the only game the Giants pulled out was the extra innings affair that saw like a million Padres baserunners stranded in, what some mistakenly thought was an unlucky day, but was probably more indicative of how the series should've turned out.

Except it didn't. And now the Giants get to go to Philadelphia, St. Louis and then host the Reds.

Jonathan Sanchez predicts the Giants will win all 9 games and be in first place by September.

You know what I predicted before the season got started? Best. Season. Ever. (Jonny Dub begged to differ)

GO PADRES!!!


Final - 8.15.2010 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
San Diego Padres 0 4 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 8 11 0
San Francisco Giants 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 4 1
WP: Wade LeBlanc (7 - 10)
LP: Tim Lincecum (11 - 7)

Complete Coverage >


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BEST. SEASON. EVAR.

Ehhhh, I don't deserve a signature...

by sdchicken on Aug 15, 2010 5:36 PM PDT reply actions   1 recs

Jonny Dub

always messin things up

by abara on Aug 15, 2010 5:48 PM PDT reply actions  

Jonny Dub = Buzz Killington

Bolts from the Blue - Destroying your opinions with facts.

by John Gennaro on Aug 15, 2010 8:53 PM PDT up reply actions  

I'm all for using statistics

but the people over at McCovey Cove have taken analysis to a whole different level. It’s like the don’t even think the games should be played anymore. Just let a bunch of computers crunch the outcomes and decide the winners based on that.

The whole problem with numbers is they never tell the whole story. When you beat someone 9 out of 11 times, psychology starts to play a BIG role.

by PhantomPretender on Aug 15, 2010 5:52 PM PDT reply actions  

The funny part is that they are completely fixated on one stat BABIP

and based on that they believe they are experts on: Life The Universe and Everything.

by field39 on Aug 15, 2010 6:05 PM PDT up reply actions  

I like the write-ups over there

but the commenting is so tedious. I read it like this…

Fuck! BABIP Fuck! BABIP Fuck! BABIP Fuck! BABIP Fuck! BABIP…. and then I can’t handle it any more and have to shut the window.

"I'll tell you about it because I am here and you are distant."

by The Kipper on Aug 15, 2010 6:09 PM PDT up reply actions  

Kouz UZR Kouz UZR Kouz UZR

sorry…flashback

"You know, I was thinking of getting my bartender's license." Alan -The Hangover

by icaughthundleys#4 on Aug 16, 2010 8:47 AM PDT up reply actions  

It's ironic how the only game they won

was on a 97 hopper cheap double and a bloop to right. The myopia at MCC is laughable.

by lamesapadresfan on Aug 15, 2010 6:15 PM PDT up reply actions  

They also don't understand sample size

A handful of PAs is not statistically significant. I’ll wait until the MCC chumps calculate the standard deviation before giving any credence to their laughable “luck” hypothesis. Double digit sample sizes make as good a foundation for a theory as styrofoam coffee cups for a skyscraper.

Ehhhh, I don't deserve a signature...

by sdchicken on Aug 15, 2010 6:31 PM PDT up reply actions   2 recs

That went to one of my comments when I clicked it

Why?

"No matter what you do, you're gonna die brotha." ~~ Desmond Hume

by All Things SD on Aug 15, 2010 7:34 PM PDT up reply actions  

Dink?

"Get your hopes up. That's what hopes are for by the way, to get up. You don't get your hopes down, you get your hopes up." -Jeffrey Tambor

by Ketchup on Aug 15, 2010 7:52 PM PDT up reply actions  

They're blinded by science!

Gaslamp Ball Game OT: "Makes you happy in the pants"
MLB Network: "Keep believing!"
Heat: "Uhh, no. We know."

by tonoxtono on Aug 15, 2010 5:53 PM PDT reply actions   3 recs

Just got back from the game

2-0 on the road baby! I apologize for not going on Saturday if I had we would have won. There was not as many Padre fans as there were on Friday but I never could tell how loud we were since everyone had checked out by the 2nd inning. Anyways I love this team. San Francisco thanks for the hospitality, its like we stayed at your house slept with your wife and you never even saw it coming. Lucky Padres.

by thepadfather on Aug 15, 2010 5:54 PM PDT reply actions   4 recs

You rule.

www.FriarsOnCardboard.blogspot.com
"jbox does not drink coffee, as it makes him clean house big time." ~Kev

by TheThinGwynn on Aug 16, 2010 4:42 PM PDT up reply actions  

This is how I feel

We are very similar, strong pitching, timely hitting. We are just better at our game then they are at theirs.

by thepadfather on Aug 15, 2010 6:00 PM PDT up reply actions  

Wrong and wrong

Giants have a 99 million dollar payroll

"I post like canned meat."

by Hormel on Aug 15, 2010 6:08 PM PDT via mobile up reply actions  

Cool

What do I win

"I post like canned meat."

by Hormel on Aug 15, 2010 9:01 PM PDT via mobile up reply actions  

A can of Murray's Hair Cream

And one can is a lifetime supply, trust me.

by TheFan09 on Aug 16, 2010 1:30 AM PDT up reply actions  

nice

I’ve always wanted a lower wind resistance

"I post like canned meat."

by Hormel on Aug 16, 2010 10:29 AM PDT up reply actions  

They're not as fast either

Gaslamp Ball Game OT: "Makes you happy in the pants"

"Even Jedis don't stand a chance against our bullpen."

by tonoxtono on Aug 15, 2010 11:37 PM PDT up reply actions  

I just watching now

Lincecum looks killer in the first inning!

by ABY on Aug 15, 2010 6:07 PM PDT reply actions  

I guess he feels he's not paid enough

To be effective beyond the first inning. ;-p

Ehhhh, I don't deserve a signature...

by sdchicken on Aug 15, 2010 6:12 PM PDT up reply actions  

hehe

Ehhhh, I don't deserve a signature...

by sdchicken on Aug 15, 2010 6:32 PM PDT up reply actions  

Sanchez

This is the Sweep Nazi. Sanchez — no sweep for you! Had a waiter in Pacifica today tell me he would’ve put something in my food had he known I was a Padre fan before serving me. Don’t think he was kidding much. Really pretty intense. His closing comment: “You should stick to football!” Kept waiting for him to laugh, but he didn’t.

by CShipley on Aug 15, 2010 6:12 PM PDT reply actions  

I went to school up in Davis and would get shit for being a Padre fan

It was during the 2004-2007 stretch, so at least the Pads were winning (sort of). But, yeah, fcuk those types of Giant fans.

Ehhhh, I don't deserve a signature...

by sdchicken on Aug 15, 2010 6:14 PM PDT up reply actions  

I go to school here in San Diego

And everyday I get crap from the majority of the student population who are from northern CA.

by Rally Cap on Aug 15, 2010 7:58 PM PDT up reply actions  

Pfeh. Turistas.

The Padres are good, but make no mistake: we've gotta beef up the linwup.

If I had a nickel from every SBN blog that has banned me, Arrowhead Pride would owe me 5¢.

by StrangeBroP25 on Aug 15, 2010 9:13 PM PDT up reply actions  

I hella hate those bitchez

Ehhhh, I don't deserve a signature...

by sdchicken on Aug 16, 2010 12:27 AM PDT up reply actions  

I can't stand when people do stuff like that

outside of the city they support. GRRRRRR

by LJbumfool on Aug 15, 2010 10:00 PM PDT up reply actions  

I'm over this series and ready for the next

Unicorns versus Bears

some background information on the conflict

"I'll tell you about it because I am here and you are distant."

by The Kipper on Aug 15, 2010 6:15 PM PDT reply actions   4 recs

I'd rather be lucky than good.

…but I love that we’re both.

I was dating this girl from Canada... after about a month I found out she didn't know what sport the Padres played, she thought "padre" was spelled p-o-d-r-a-y and she thought it was some kind of a fish. Dealbreaker.

by Johnny UT on Aug 15, 2010 6:42 PM PDT reply actions  

Missed roll call tonite...

But I have to say, they idiots over at MCC, called OUR writing amateur…you know after they cried over unlucky Timmah and how we’re so lucky.

And they still think they can win the division.

Guess what Giant fans…

"Speak softly and wear a loud shirt" - Kimo's Rules

by greekpadre on Aug 15, 2010 6:48 PM PDT reply actions  

"they"

redneck super FAIL< I’m normally not that bad…

"Speak softly and wear a loud shirt" - Kimo's Rules

by greekpadre on Aug 15, 2010 7:13 PM PDT up reply actions  

ahhh! type fail madness

"Speak softly and wear a loud shirt" - Kimo's Rules

by greekpadre on Aug 15, 2010 7:14 PM PDT up reply actions  

MCC postgame thread made my heart smile.

just sayin

"I suggest more bike" ~KSK

www.throughbucknerslegs.com

by justdave on Aug 15, 2010 8:19 PM PDT reply actions  

My favorite quote from that thread so far...
I’m spitting mad over the ridiculous luck, but really, if Lincecum gets a normal .300 BAbip today, it’s a tight ballgame. Today, along with the previous six games – even though we won half of them – is the definition of a fluke. Crazy shit happens and we need to focus on the standings and Tuesday.

I AM SO PISSED OFF AT THE FUCKING BLOOPS THAT I WOULD SHOOT BLOOD OUT OF MY EYES IF I COULD. HOLY LIVING BALLS CRAP GAAAAAAAAAAAAH

I can see the veins in that guy’s forehead throbbing from here!

by Back2SD2006 on Aug 15, 2010 8:57 PM PDT up reply actions  

One fluke at a time

Or is it

We need to take this fluke by fluke

"I post like canned meat."

by Hormel on Aug 15, 2010 9:05 PM PDT via mobile up reply actions   1 recs

if fluke = jerk

you are right on

"I post like canned meat."

by Hormel on Aug 16, 2010 10:30 AM PDT up reply actions  

It can be

“I need to go fluke off”

Yup, make it so.

Isn't it enough to know that I ruined a pony making a gift for you? ◔ヮ◔
Uncommon Sportsman :: Absurdity in play

by Axion on Aug 16, 2010 11:11 AM PDT up reply actions  

That's adorbs

He thinks every game has a BABIP of .300, normally.

Who told these kids that BABIP = luck? They can’t seem to shake this belief.

Isn't it enough to know that I ruined a pony making a gift for you? ◔ヮ◔
Uncommon Sportsman :: Absurdity in play

by Axion on Aug 15, 2010 9:16 PM PDT up reply actions  

The BABIP thing has really gone haywire this year

in terms of people referencing it and mis-applying it. That shit does not hold up in daily numbers—take your eyes off the stat sheet and WATCH WHAT THE PITCHER AND BATTER DID to determine what the deciding factor in a game was. What’s next, are they going to start calculating UZR for the game?

by abara on Aug 15, 2010 9:59 PM PDT up reply actions  

I mean, over an entire season,

taking things like GB/FB/LD rates, park factors and whatnot into account? Sure, it can be useful. But whining about how your starter has a BABIP of .700 for the first three innings of a game is absolutely moronic.

by abara on Aug 15, 2010 10:01 PM PDT up reply actions  

Exactly

The regression baseline needs a huge sample size to even out and is affected by defense, by which the Padres are better. It’s all there, they just don’t want to see it for what it is.

Isn't it enough to know that I ruined a pony making a gift for you? ◔ヮ◔
Uncommon Sportsman :: Absurdity in play

by Axion on Aug 15, 2010 10:03 PM PDT up reply actions  

Luck

We’re going to luck, hustle and grit our way to the World Series while the Giants are weeping over their stupid BABIP.

by anthony on Aug 15, 2010 9:36 PM PDT up reply actions   1 recs

and inventing stupid stats to explain why their golf game is struggling

“i struck the ball so well, it just bounced off the fairway and in to a lake filled with poisonous snake beasts. STUPID LUCK RARRRRRRRRRRRRR.”

"I suggest more bike" ~KSK

www.throughbucknerslegs.com

by justdave on Aug 15, 2010 10:42 PM PDT up reply actions  

it's true

all contact is inherently equal. if you get a good result, the laws of the universe dictate that the next one should be bad.

by abara on Aug 15, 2010 10:48 PM PDT up reply actions  

Crazy stat

Padres have won their last 9 Sunday games and 12 of their last 13

"I post like canned meat."

by Hormel on Aug 15, 2010 9:51 PM PDT via mobile reply actions  

why is it crazy?

It’s not crazy that the PADRES (the only professional American sports club with a faith-based name) would be very successful on the LORD’S DAY. If this doesn’t prove the existence of God, I don’t know what will.

I was dating this girl from Canada... after about a month I found out she didn't know what sport the Padres played, she thought "padre" was spelled p-o-d-r-a-y and she thought it was some kind of a fish. Dealbreaker.

by Johnny UT on Aug 15, 2010 9:57 PM PDT up reply actions   2 recs

New Orleans Saints?

New Jersey Devils?
Los Angeles Angels?
Orlando Magic?
Washington Wizards?

by LJbumfool on Aug 15, 2010 10:17 PM PDT up reply actions  

Magic and Wizards

have nothing to do with faith

"No matter what you do, you're gonna die brotha." ~~ Desmond Hume

by All Things SD on Aug 15, 2010 10:18 PM PDT up reply actions   1 recs

"No matter what you do, you're gonna die brotha." ~~ Desmond Hume

by All Things SD on Aug 15, 2010 10:20 PM PDT up reply actions  

well, yeah

other than those…

I was dating this girl from Canada... after about a month I found out she didn't know what sport the Padres played, she thought "padre" was spelled p-o-d-r-a-y and she thought it was some kind of a fish. Dealbreaker.

by Johnny UT on Aug 16, 2010 3:47 PM PDT up reply actions  

Was the one loss to the Astros?

I’m not sure if that was before 13 weeks ago or not (the Jerry error in the 9th that led to Heath’s last blown save).

"No matter what you do, you're gonna die brotha." ~~ Desmond Hume

by All Things SD on Aug 15, 2010 10:16 PM PDT up reply actions  

Just checked

It was against the SeattLOL Mariners

"No matter what you do, you're gonna die brotha." ~~ Desmond Hume

by All Things SD on Aug 15, 2010 10:18 PM PDT up reply actions  

Damn it feels good to be a gangster

Sincerely,

The 2010 Padres

Mat Latos is the real deal...Go Lakers, Pads, and Bolts

by mrbarneydangles on Aug 15, 2010 10:46 PM PDT reply actions   2 recs

I'd say it's about even.

Most of the games remaining for both teams are either NL West or NL Central. The Padres still need to play Philadelphia at hime, but we have two series with the Cubs to play compared to the Giants’ 1.

by I8EtoDunbar on Aug 15, 2010 11:52 PM PDT up reply actions  

yeah the remaining schedules are actually almost identical

aside from the above differences (which might even out considering the Giants have an extra series against AZ) the only thing that makes the Giants schedule harder is the fact that they have 7 games remaining against us.

It feels so weird to look at remaining schedules of other teams and realize that the Padres are the ones skewing all our opponents SOS higher. Bizarro world.

by abara on Aug 15, 2010 11:56 PM PDT up reply actions  

Giants have harder schedule

they have to play the 2010 NL Champs 7 more times.

"Over? Did you say "over"? Nothing is over until we decide it is! Was it over when the Germans bombed Pearl Harbor? Hell no!"

by Ron Mexico on Aug 16, 2010 7:39 AM PDT up reply actions   4 recs

My favorite McCovey Chronicles meme:

Complaining about all of the Padres’ “dink” hits.

Because, you know, if you’re not hitting home runs, it’s not baseball. Singles are for losers.

by I8EtoDunbar on Aug 15, 2010 11:47 PM PDT reply actions  

That's why they're ahead of us in the standings

OH, WAIT

;-p

Ehhhh, I don't deserve a signature...

by sdchicken on Aug 16, 2010 12:31 AM PDT up reply actions  

For the record,

I did not dump Evy. I’m just… exploring my options for if/when he gets sent down and I can’t look at him all the time. He’s cool with it.

I need new pants.

by jodes0405 on Aug 16, 2010 3:14 AM PDT reply actions  

Suuuuuuuure

And I suppose you want to just be friends too.

Gaslamp Ball Game OT: "Makes you happy in the pants"

"Even Jedis don't stand a chance against our bullpen."

by tonoxtono on Aug 16, 2010 11:15 AM PDT up reply actions  

Suuuuuuuure

And I suppose you want to just be friends too.

Gaslamp Ball Game OT: "Makes you happy in the pants"

"Even Jedis don't stand a chance against our bullpen."

by tonoxtono on Aug 16, 2010 11:15 AM PDT up reply actions  

Let's get 3 out of 4 against the Cubbies

Mat Latos is the real deal...Go Lakers, Pads, and Bolts

by mrbarneydangles on Aug 16, 2010 6:55 AM PDT reply actions  

lets get 3 out of 4 against the Cubbies

then win the 4th.

"Over? Did you say "over"? Nothing is over until we decide it is! Was it over when the Germans bombed Pearl Harbor? Hell no!"

by Ron Mexico on Aug 16, 2010 8:12 AM PDT up reply actions  

Predictions

Did Dex just throw me in the same boat as Jonathan Sanchez??!!

"I'M NOT GOING TO ASK HIM FOR F_CKING TICKETS, DEX. I DON'T NEED A DEAL ON A F_CKING LUXURY SUITE." - Mike

by Jonny Dub on Aug 16, 2010 8:49 AM PDT reply actions  

AHHH If so

I guess it’s well deserved.

"I'M NOT GOING TO ASK HIM FOR F_CKING TICKETS, DEX. I DON'T NEED A DEAL ON A F_CKING LUXURY SUITE." - Mike

by Jonny Dub on Aug 16, 2010 8:50 AM PDT up reply actions  

Padres sign 3rd rd'er Cates

Third-rounder Zach Cates reached an agreement with the Padres for a $765K bonus, the highest to date for a third-round selection. Callis reports that the right-hander more than doubled MLB’s recommended bonus of approximately $380K for the draft slot.

If I pick it, I flick it

by Duke Street Kings on Aug 16, 2010 9:23 AM PDT reply actions  

FanShot?

"Don’t get nervous. Norv is in charge."

creanium.net
Bolts from the Blue

by creanium on Aug 16, 2010 9:47 AM PDT up reply actions  

Awesome

Come on, Jed, let’s get Whitson. :)

Ehhhh, I don't deserve a signature...

by sdchicken on Aug 16, 2010 1:08 PM PDT up reply actions  

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