Around the Mission: 5/14 Padres Links
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Bank robber faking ‘Geezer’-ness? - SignOnSanDiego.com
The Geezer Bandit may not be a geezer after all and may be a Padres fan. Isn't that Gaslamp Baller Axion's favorite Padres hat? Hmmmm. -
Latos nearly perfect as Padres sweep | padres.com: News
"I just go out there and do my best. That's all I can do," said the soft-spoken Latos after the game. "Everything came together today." -
Torrealba a nice fit with Padres | padres.com: News
Torrealba said. "I know that I try to have the same approach every time. When I see a good pitch, I try to hit it. -
Dodgers need to put an end to the Padres' pixie-dust routine | Dodgers Blog | Los Angeles Times
The Padres are a team of no-names. Their lineup includes a great first baseman and seven guys you never heard of. And for good reason. They’re leading the National League West with a bunch of Triple-A players. (Hat Tip @Marty1090) -
MLB-a-Culpa: Forgive me, San Diego Padres, for I have sinned - Big League Stew - MLB - Yahoo! Sports
Yes, I wanted to wait until the last possible moment until I admitted to making a mistake in completely dismissing you as a contender in our preseason divisional preview for the NL West. These apologies aren't easy, you know.
Richard's pickoff move drawing attention | padres.com: News
"From my perspective, I see a guy with a very good move," Black said.
Complete works for Padres’ Latos - SignOnSanDiego.com
"Bud just came over today and smiled at me," Latos said. "He just cracked that smile."
Black would like 'clarification' of balk calls - SignOnSanDiego.com
"You can’t argue balls and strikes and you can’t argue a balk call," said Padres manager Bud Black. "It’s an automatic ejection."
Two gems of broadcasting add sparkle to game on diamond - SignOnSanDiego.com
"Scully is 82, Enberg is 75, and the two have been around so long"
PADRES NOTES: Success plus Dodgers equals big crowds
"There's a lot of great momentum with the way the team's playing," team president Tom Garfinkel said by phone Thursday. "I get more comments from fans about how much heart and how exciting this team is. Our fans deserve a team that plays this hard and our players are deserving of the support."
Six Thoughts: Pad-Rays, Matt Bush on Comeback Trail -- MLB FanHouse
"We keep talking about a powerful 'Pad-Rays' World Series, and how much fun that would be," Maddon says. "Buddy coined that one. 'Pad-Rays.' We text each other on it."
Unfinished Business: Extending The Lead...
"It is so much fun to watch this team! We've been on this roll for quite a while, and I'm starting to think that it's going to last. I mean, who knows, we've got a ton of season left. But can you blame me if I'm starting to think about October already?"
Friday Links (14 May 10) – Ducksnorts
"After his last two starts, we can all agree that Latos doesn’t need more seasoning at Triple-A."
The Friarhood - Where are Padres Fans?
"As much as I love the Padres and our San Diego fans, when I listen to people like that, I get disappointed. Caller after caller complained about losing players due to big salaries. It seems the fans of San Diego have no idea or clue about economics. "
I Like Watching the Padres…Baseball in General, I’m Not So Sure :: Friar Forecast
"Yesterday I went to a St. Louis Cardinal’s game at Busch Stadium. They played the Houston Astros. I lost interest after the first inning."
Potential Adrian Gonzalez Trade Destinations–Los Angeles Dodgers | Chicken Friars | A San Diego Padres Blog
"There are so many things that could prevent the Padres from sending Adrian Gonzalez to the Los Angeles Dodgers. "
Latos pitches 1-hitter for first complete game
"Latos ran his scoreless-innings streak to 18 as he outdueled lefty Jonathan Sanchez (2-3), who no-hit San Diego here last July 10, to win his second straight start and get his first career complete game. He struck out six and didn’t walk a batter in a 106-pitch gem that ended in 2 hours, 6 minutes."
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Dodger fans at True Blue LA are very confident.
Very, very confident.
"It is a truth universally acknowledged that a zombie in possession of brains must be in want of more brains."
Bolts From The Blue - Heavy with the facts, slightly less heavy with the opinions.
by Zach (maestro876) on May 14, 2010 9:35 AM PDT reply actions
Very confident
For a 17-17 team whose best pitcher is named “TBD” and was 4-11 on the road until the swept the truly terrible D-Bags.
Mountain West Connection ::Above the Rest::
Bolts From The Blue "There’s a gleam men. Let’s go get the gleam! Focus and Finish!!! One play at a time!!! Let's Go!!!"
it kind of reminds me of that movie "You've got mail"...I'm Tom Hanks he's Meg Ryan -- Padres prospect Matt Antonelli on sdsuaztec4
by Sam (sdsuaztec4) on May 14, 2010 9:42 AM PDT up reply actions 1 recs
Look at their smug smiles.

by theodore donald kerabatsos on May 14, 2010 10:27 AM PDT up reply actions

Mountain West Connection ::Above the Rest::
Bolts From The Blue "There’s a gleam men. Let’s go get the gleam! Focus and Finish!!! One play at a time!!! Let's Go!!!"
it kind of reminds me of that movie "You've got mail"...I'm Tom Hanks he's Meg Ryan -- Padres prospect Matt Antonelli on sdsuaztec4
by Sam (sdsuaztec4) on May 14, 2010 10:33 AM PDT up reply actions

Isn't it enough to know that I ruined a pony making a gift for you? ◔ヮ◔
Uncommon Sportsman :: Absurdity in play
More like Skeezer Bandit.
by theodore donald kerabatsos on May 14, 2010 9:40 AM PDT up reply actions
the geezer bandit
is just a Dodger fan trying to drag a red herring across his trail
Embarass the organization...VEGEMITE!!! ~Bud Black
by icaughthundleys#4 on May 14, 2010 10:15 AM PDT up reply actions
I think he's at Six Flags

Don't hate the game, hate the nerds!
by thenerdhater on May 14, 2010 11:48 AM PDT up reply actions 3 recs
Can anyone post Buster Olney's article on ESPN?
I don’t have insider and want to see what the network has to say about our boys.
TBD
by IputtheYinTony on May 14, 2010 10:01 AM PDT reply actions
Nope, that's illegal.
Mountain West Connection ::Above the Rest::
Bolts From The Blue "There’s a gleam men. Let’s go get the gleam! Focus and Finish!!! One play at a time!!! Let's Go!!!"
it kind of reminds me of that movie "You've got mail"...I'm Tom Hanks he's Meg Ryan -- Padres prospect Matt Antonelli on sdsuaztec4
by Sam (sdsuaztec4) on May 14, 2010 10:06 AM PDT up reply actions
It's nothing too crazy
He talks about our record since last July, the staff ERA, and cats
twitter.com/matthewverygood
by matthewverygood on May 14, 2010 10:08 AM PDT up reply actions
Specifically
He talks about our record and ERA since last July 27. An arbitrary date if I’ve ever seen one.
There are some quotes from Latos and a short paragraph on some adjustments Latos made with Balsley, specifically about shifting from the 3rd base side to the 1st base side of the rubber.
No, I don't think you're an idiot. Please don't go trying to prove me wrong about that.
Bolts from the Blue - General Manager: It is what it isn't
Jonny Dub is Buster Olney?
"I'm a Padre at heart. Always gonna root for the Padres. Twenty-five years [with this organization], how can't you? Next year I'm gonna be rooting like a son-of-a-gun for these guys and for Blackie ... I'm gonna be rooting for the next general manager here, rooting for the city, the fans, everybody. I think a lot of San Diego." -Kevin Towers
The restricted list also can be a transactional last resort for a player with a personal issue. In 2003, baseball instituted the bereavement list, which allows a three- to seven-day excused absence for a player experiencing a family emergency or the death of a loved one. With permission from the Commissioner’s office, the player’s team may replace him on the active 25-man roster, though he continues to be paid and earn service time. But if an absence extends more than seven days, the club must resort to placing the player on the restricted list, where he is not paid and does not earn service time. Casey Kotchman, Cliff Floyd, and Alex Gonzalez (then with Cincinnati) all were placed on the restricted list in recent years after their seven-day bereavement leave had expired.
This a quote from a recent BaseballProspectus article. Someone asked me if Kevin Correia could be put on the disabled list if he needed more than 7 days of bereavement for the death of his father. I had replied that it wouldn’t be likely to happen since you would need a mental or physical issue to justify it. This article showed me that there was precedent for putting bereaved players on the rarely mentioned restricted list. Currently, Milton Bradley in on the restricted list for the Mariners as he resolves his personal issues.
No, I don't think you're an idiot. Please don't go trying to prove me wrong about that.
Bolts from the Blue - General Manager: It is what it isn't
Poor Kevin Correia lost his brother, not his father
Just an itty, bitty reminder.
"Savvy Chicks Dig the Bullpen"
Sorry
I had thoughts of Joey Votto (who I discussed with Jordan_Ming had gone on the DL afterwards) and some of the players listed in the quote.
No, I don't think you're an idiot. Please don't go trying to prove me wrong about that.
Bolts from the Blue - General Manager: It is what it isn't
No worries.
Even bots get a hiccup in their neurons now and then. :)
"Savvy Chicks Dig the Bullpen"
by eastbaysd on May 14, 2010 1:04 PM PDT up reply actions 1 recs
I know
I had just read this article:
http://smarteconomy.typepad.com/smart_economy/2008/08/smart-thinking.html
about the Smart Thinking Robot with 300,000 rat neurons.
"Savvy Chicks Dig the Bullpen"
Wow, stick to being wrong and apologizing for it...
you have an offense that often looks like it couldn’t even produce runs after a spoiled round of fish tacos
That Dodger blog article is one long
shoulda, coulda, woulda full of excuses.
This is a terrible thing for the Padres. - Jerry Coleman
by Padres_Hobo on May 14, 2010 10:18 AM PDT reply actions 1 recs
Major Dodger/Padre differences
this is for the LA Times to look into
1. We have a great team chemistry. They have a bunch of egos.
2. We have been very focused on winning games, plain & simple. They seem to care more about individual stats.
3. We know how to play solid defense and are not in need of another spring training to refresh the fundamentals.
4. They’ve been killing themselves over very small things. We’ve been killing our opponents by doing very small things (pitcher RBI’s, defense, speed, etc)
5. LA is all about the benjamins. I don’t see any heart in that team. We’re a 37 mil squad with no expectations and a ton of heart.
6. Did I mention egos?
You forgot to mention scrappy and gamers for a cliché storm..
Let justice be done, though the world perish.
Were u reading my mind?
I was thinking that the Doyeur fans have not even begun to measure
the level of scrappiness on this team.
They just dont get it.
"Savvy Chicks Dig the Bullpen"
by eastbaysd on May 14, 2010 1:06 PM PDT up reply actions 1 recs
Great starting pitching, outstanding bullpen, good defense, aggressive baserunning.
Seems to be a recipe for winning ballgames. Eventually the rest of baseball will catch on.
"Never have a motto, that's what I always say" - Me
Those thing are all measurable.
We have stats Wonko for that.
The Padres also have the UNMEASURABLE.
When the Padres are having a tough time getting hits and scoring on an opponent,
the Scrappy Factor kicks in.
Scrappy
Adj. 1.scrappy – full of fighting spirit;
aggressive – having or showing determination and energetic pursuit of your ends
All those great qualitities, PLUS the Scrappy Factor=WINS
"Savvy Chicks Dig the Bullpen"
Wha?
The Padres are a team of no-names. Their lineup includes a great first baseman and seven guys you never heard of. And for good reason. They’re leading the National League West with a bunch of Triple-A players.
Ummm, those are professional players, Steve.
Steve Dilbeck needs some serious demotivation. Unleash the LOLcats!!!
by The Kipper on May 14, 2010 10:33 AM PDT reply actions 1 recs
Kind of like their rotation.
Mountain West Connection ::Above the Rest::
Bolts From The Blue "There’s a gleam men. Let’s go get the gleam! Focus and Finish!!! One play at a time!!! Let's Go!!!"
it kind of reminds me of that movie "You've got mail"...I'm Tom Hanks he's Meg Ryan -- Padres prospect Matt Antonelli on sdsuaztec4
by Sam (sdsuaztec4) on May 14, 2010 10:34 AM PDT up reply actions
BASE!
seriously, their pitchering staff has not been good…
"Over? Did you say "over"? Nothing is over until we decide it is! Was it over when the Germans bombed Pearl Harbor? Hell no!"
So what does it say about the teams that we beat with AAA players?
No, I don't think you're an idiot. Please don't go trying to prove me wrong about that.
Bolts from the Blue - General Manager: It is what it isn't
Weren't Andre Ethier and Manny Ramirez
AAA players at one point?
"It is a truth universally acknowledged that a zombie in possession of brains must be in want of more brains."
Bolts From The Blue - Heavy with the facts, slightly less heavy with the opinions.
by Zach (maestro876) on May 14, 2010 10:39 AM PDT up reply actions
Not much.
Man, those Giants pitchers must be AA players to lose to a bunch of AAA hitters.
"It is a truth universally acknowledged that a zombie in possession of brains must be in want of more brains."
Bolts From The Blue - Heavy with the facts, slightly less heavy with the opinions.
by Zach (maestro876) on May 14, 2010 10:40 AM PDT up reply actions
how about history just repeat itself?
The Padres historically have been something of a pain in the butt to the Dodgers. Time to return the favor. Time to offer a lesson in reality.
and wouldnt reality be based on history? jagoff!
I hope every Padre reads that article before tonights game...
that has to fire them up.
by mbcarval on May 14, 2010 10:43 AM PDT up reply actions 1 recs
A lesson in reality
like they gave the Brewers?
"It is a truth universally acknowledged that a zombie in possession of brains must be in want of more brains."
Bolts From The Blue - Heavy with the facts, slightly less heavy with the opinions.
by Zach (maestro876) on May 14, 2010 10:45 AM PDT up reply actions
doggers sure taught pittsburg a lesson
first week of the year
by kevintheoman on May 14, 2010 1:52 PM PDT up reply actions
OMG
Not exactly Sandy Koufax, Don Drysdale, Johnny Podres and Claude Osteen.
When did the Dodgers pick these guys up? Are they not all dead or in their 90’s. Or are they trying to say that: Kuroda, Kershaw, Billingsley, Haeger, and Ortiz are the second coming of these guys?
MUAHHHHH AHA HA HA HAHA HA H AHA ROTFLMAO!
"This team looks dangerous, like a convict with a temper, nothing to lose and a switch blade." -jbox
by MrDanielX on May 14, 2010 10:48 AM PDT reply actions 1 recs
They're saying that our guys
aren’t as good as those pitchers.
"It is a truth universally acknowledged that a zombie in possession of brains must be in want of more brains."
Bolts From The Blue - Heavy with the facts, slightly less heavy with the opinions.
by Zach (maestro876) on May 14, 2010 10:52 AM PDT up reply actions
Right, but the implication is that, they have better...
"This team looks dangerous, like a convict with a temper, nothing to lose and a switch blade." -jbox
Although there is one guy who said that Latos could be the next Lincecum
I don’t even think anyone on GLB is that optimistic.
by theodore donald kerabatsos on May 14, 2010 10:58 AM PDT up reply actions
Lincecum is a freak.
But Latos’s upside is of a true ace.
"It is a truth universally acknowledged that a zombie in possession of brains must be in want of more brains."
Bolts From The Blue - Heavy with the facts, slightly less heavy with the opinions.
by Zach (maestro876) on May 14, 2010 11:01 AM PDT up reply actions
Just read that doyer article
Someone should put a copy of that article in the clubhouse tonight. I wonder what would happen..
by Ilikecheeserolls on May 14, 2010 11:16 AM PDT reply actions 1 recs
The Dodger article is just a last ditch effort to save their sanity.
I just want to get paid to draw naked girls, is that so much to ask?
by tonoxtono on May 14, 2010 11:43 AM PDT reply actions 1 recs
That
And they are in optimism mode. They just got back to .500. There were expectations that they’d contend. And they are playing their “little brothers” in a 3 game set that potentially could slide them back into the division race. If I was in their shoes I’d probably make the same sort of rationalizations. Minus the gang signs.
No, I don't think you're an idiot. Please don't go trying to prove me wrong about that.
Bolts from the Blue - General Manager: It is what it isn't
Sweeping one of the worst teams in baseball to get back to .500
Hooray?
Mountain West Connection ::Above the Rest::
Bolts From The Blue "There’s a gleam men. Let’s go get the gleam! Focus and Finish!!! One play at a time!!! Let's Go!!!"
it kind of reminds me of that movie "You've got mail"...I'm Tom Hanks he's Meg Ryan -- Padres prospect Matt Antonelli on sdsuaztec4
by Sam (sdsuaztec4) on May 14, 2010 11:46 AM PDT up reply actions 1 recs
You can't do better than sweeping 'em.
No, I don't think you're an idiot. Please don't go trying to prove me wrong about that.
Bolts from the Blue - General Manager: It is what it isn't
Did I say you could?
Mountain West Connection ::Above the Rest::
Bolts From The Blue "There’s a gleam men. Let’s go get the gleam! Focus and Finish!!! One play at a time!!! Let's Go!!!"
it kind of reminds me of that movie "You've got mail"...I'm Tom Hanks he's Meg Ryan -- Padres prospect Matt Antonelli on sdsuaztec4
by Sam (sdsuaztec4) on May 14, 2010 11:50 AM PDT up reply actions
Did I say you couldn't?
Oh wait, yeah I did.
No, I don't think you're an idiot. Please don't go trying to prove me wrong about that.
Bolts from the Blue - General Manager: It is what it isn't
Give em credit
They just swept a team with one of the best pitching staffs in baseball. Oh wait, sorry, that was the Padres over the Giants.
"Never have a motto, that's what I always say" - Me
Oh yeah, I know
I just wanted to mention we swept a great pitching club, and the Doyeurs are far from one of those.
"Never have a motto, that's what I always say" - Me
We also swept a great hitting club - The Brew Crew
Mountain West Connection ::Above the Rest::
Bolts From The Blue "There’s a gleam men. Let’s go get the gleam! Focus and Finish!!! One play at a time!!! Let's Go!!!"
it kind of reminds me of that movie "You've got mail"...I'm Tom Hanks he's Meg Ryan -- Padres prospect Matt Antonelli on sdsuaztec4
by Sam (sdsuaztec4) on May 14, 2010 2:01 PM PDT up reply actions
Doyer "Article"
first off, its more of a blog entry than anything that should end-up in print. No wonder the LA Times is in its last two years of existence.
I love how it just dismisses the whole lineup b/c the guy who is paid to follow baseball, actually doesn’t follow baseball.
His justifications is the payroll and how Ramirez and Kudora make practically the same amount…..yeah, that is something I wouldn’t be bragging about. Then he refer to pitchers that haven’t thrown a pitch for the doyers in over 40 years.
"Over? Did you say "over"? Nothing is over until we decide it is! Was it over when the Germans bombed Pearl Harbor? Hell no!"
by Ron Mexico on May 14, 2010 12:45 PM PDT reply actions 1 recs
6 hours till game time
Want work to be over and to be down at the stadium already!
This is a terrible thing for the Padres. - Jerry Coleman
by Padres_Hobo on May 14, 2010 1:02 PM PDT reply actions 1 recs
I don't understand why people quote past accomplishments like it matters now
I see this all the time from Dodgers fans and Raiders fans. We have X World Series, X Super Bowls, so you will lose tonight.
This is a terrible thing for the Padres. - Jerry Coleman
by Padres_Hobo on May 14, 2010 1:24 PM PDT reply actions 1 recs
Everyone is mocking the LA times Article
SUCK IT, BEAT LA
by NYCfriar on May 14, 2010 2:12 PM PDT reply actions 1 recs
I think people are probably placing too much importance on this series.
What if the Dodgers win two of three? Is the sky falling? If they’re all three close games?
"It is a truth universally acknowledged that a zombie in possession of brains must be in want of more brains."
Bolts From The Blue - Heavy with the facts, slightly less heavy with the opinions.
by Zach (maestro876) on May 14, 2010 2:34 PM PDT reply actions
I'm going to stick with the reasonable expectations that everyone had going into the Giants series...
If we can win 5 of the 10 against the Giants and Dodgers, we’re doing OK. That means we can still go 2-5 over the next seven games and have no reason to panic. Anything better than that is gravy.
by theodore donald kerabatsos on May 14, 2010 2:39 PM PDT up reply actions
sausage, ham, chipped? What TYPE of gravy/
"Over? Did you say "over"? Nothing is over until we decide it is! Was it over when the Germans bombed Pearl Harbor? Hell no!"
Mix of all kinds
No, I don't think you're an idiot. Please don't go trying to prove me wrong about that.
Bolts from the Blue - General Manager: It is what it isn't
I think its more about making a statement
The Padres quest for legitimacy looks better if they are taking series’ from divisional rivals.
I think there is also a push to get as many wins and separation under our belt now as possible. We don’t know how any of these teams will be playing in August and September and it’d be nice to keep building a cushion.
No, I don't think you're an idiot. Please don't go trying to prove me wrong about that.
Bolts from the Blue - General Manager: It is what it isn't
by Wonko on May 14, 2010 2:49 PM PDT up reply actions 1 recs
I totally agree with you.
I’m just thinking to myself that it really wouldn’t be a disaster to lose two of three, so long as they’re close games and not blowouts.
"It is a truth universally acknowledged that a zombie in possession of brains must be in want of more brains."
Bolts From The Blue - Heavy with the facts, slightly less heavy with the opinions.
by Zach (maestro876) on May 14, 2010 2:50 PM PDT up reply actions
Yeah, it's not a disaster
It wouldn’t even be a disaster if it was a best of 7 playoff series so how could it be a disaster now?
No, I don't think you're an idiot. Please don't go trying to prove me wrong about that.
Bolts from the Blue - General Manager: It is what it isn't
Plus
if you can step on someone’s throat now…Do it. Who know you can turn a team from buyers to sellers with a statement in May/June.
"Over? Did you say "over"? Nothing is over until we decide it is! Was it over when the Germans bombed Pearl Harbor? Hell no!"
Perspective: A Padres sweep over the Dodgers
Would put them 8 G out of first place. That is quite a road to hoe.
No, I don't think you're an idiot. Please don't go trying to prove me wrong about that.
Bolts from the Blue - General Manager: It is what it isn't
That would be pretty sweet.
I called for a 10-game win streak starting this past Tuesday.
So far, so good.
"It is a truth universally acknowledged that a zombie in possession of brains must be in want of more brains."
Bolts From The Blue - Heavy with the facts, slightly less heavy with the opinions.
by Zach (maestro876) on May 14, 2010 3:44 PM PDT up reply actions
and probably
3 teams to jump. How long until the strapped cash Dodgers think too many games, too many teams before the Owner pulls the plug?
"Over? Did you say "over"? Nothing is over until we decide it is! Was it over when the Germans bombed Pearl Harbor? Hell no!"
Trade for Manny?
:P
"It is a truth universally acknowledged that a zombie in possession of brains must be in want of more brains."
Bolts From The Blue - Heavy with the facts, slightly less heavy with the opinions.
by Zach (maestro876) on May 14, 2010 3:49 PM PDT up reply actions
We must beat the Doyers
They have been working their way up from the bottom.
We need to crush all hope for Doyer players and fans
to send them into a downward spiral of accusation and blame.
"I post like canned meat."
by Hormel on May 14, 2010 3:11 PM PDT up reply actions 1 recs
Wonko, we were talking about LeBlanc's upside on my post before.
Wouldn’t a possible comparison be Jeff Francis? He’s a lefty whose fastball averages 87-88 mph, but has a great change-up. In 2006 and 2007, he was worth 3.6 and 4.1 WAR respectively, despite never having an ERA below 4.16, or a FIP below 4.19.
Is there a reason LeBlanc can’t do that? His K/9 and BB/9 are pretty similar to Francis’s, though his HR/9 looks to be a bit higher.
"It is a truth universally acknowledged that a zombie in possession of brains must be in want of more brains."
Bolts From The Blue - Heavy with the facts, slightly less heavy with the opinions.
by Zach (maestro876) on May 14, 2010 3:05 PM PDT reply actions
I can see how you could come to that conclusion numbers-wise
But from a scouting perspective, you’re talking about a world of difference between the two.
No, I don't think you're an idiot. Please don't go trying to prove me wrong about that.
Bolts from the Blue - General Manager: It is what it isn't
Can you explain it?
At the time, you said to be a 4 WAR pitcher, you have to pitch 200+ innings of mid-low 3.00s ERA. But there’s Francis with a 4.16 and a 4.22 ERA. How does that work?
"It is a truth universally acknowledged that a zombie in possession of brains must be in want of more brains."
Bolts From The Blue - Heavy with the facts, slightly less heavy with the opinions.
by Zach (maestro876) on May 14, 2010 3:09 PM PDT up reply actions
Actually
you said to be a 3 WAR pitcher you have to have 200+ innings of mid-3s ERA. So how does Francis get 4 WAR with an ERA of over 4.00?
"It is a truth universally acknowledged that a zombie in possession of brains must be in want of more brains."
Bolts From The Blue - Heavy with the facts, slightly less heavy with the opinions.
by Zach (maestro876) on May 14, 2010 3:14 PM PDT up reply actions
I only gave that example
Because I found a couple of pitchers in the 3 WAR range and that’s the type of line they had.
No, I don't think you're an idiot. Please don't go trying to prove me wrong about that.
Bolts from the Blue - General Manager: It is what it isn't
No, I didn't say that (or maybe I did but that's not what I meant)
I gave that as an example of that type of pitcher. There are a number of other combinations.
In Francis’ case, park adjustments are obviously the first factor since he plays half his games at the worst pitcher’s park in baseball.
No, I don't think you're an idiot. Please don't go trying to prove me wrong about that.
Bolts from the Blue - General Manager: It is what it isn't
Ok, so what makes Francis better than LeBlanc?
I don’t get to watch many games so I can’t see what you see.
"It is a truth universally acknowledged that a zombie in possession of brains must be in want of more brains."
Bolts From The Blue - Heavy with the facts, slightly less heavy with the opinions.
by Zach (maestro876) on May 14, 2010 3:18 PM PDT up reply actions
I'm not a scout
But I’ve read what they say and Francis was always a better prospect.
No, I don't think you're an idiot. Please don't go trying to prove me wrong about that.
Bolts from the Blue - General Manager: It is what it isn't
All right, so if that's the case
don’t we have to wait and see what LeBlanc actually does? His stuff seems similar to Francis. Looking at the run values of their pitches, they each have great change-ups, and average to below average other pitches.
Again, like you I’m not a scout, so maybe they can look at Francis and say he’s just better, but it seems to me like we should wait and see what LeBlanc is actually capable of.
"It is a truth universally acknowledged that a zombie in possession of brains must be in want of more brains."
Bolts From The Blue - Heavy with the facts, slightly less heavy with the opinions.
by Zach (maestro876) on May 14, 2010 3:25 PM PDT up reply actions
I never said we shouldn't
What I would say is that given all the information, the likely scenario is that Francis (injury aside) is likely to be the better of the two pitchers. However, things that are likely don’t always occur.
No, I don't think you're an idiot. Please don't go trying to prove me wrong about that.
Bolts from the Blue - General Manager: It is what it isn't
Some other stuff to chew on
On Minorleaguesplits they let you run the Major League Equivalencies (MLE) on what a pitcher did. If you take both LeBlanc’s AAA season his MLE FIP is about 5. So that would be quite a jump to start saying he’s now a <4 FIP pitcher. Not impossible, just unlikely.
Also, Francis established himself as a major leaguer around 23/24 and LeBlanc is doing so at age 26. That has to count for something if you’re looking at development curves.
No, I don't think you're an idiot. Please don't go trying to prove me wrong about that.
Bolts from the Blue - General Manager: It is what it isn't
According to Fangraphs
WAR for two pitchers with the same run environment and same replacement level is all FIP plus park factors. So I guess that’s really all the explanation there is.
No, I don't think you're an idiot. Please don't go trying to prove me wrong about that.
Bolts from the Blue - General Manager: It is what it isn't
Which means
That I exaggerated my point a little, because ERA isn’t actually a factor. You could have an ERA in the 5s and if your FIP is in the high 3s and you got over 200 IP in a fairly neutral park (like Randy Wolf in 2009) then your WAR should be 3.
No, I don't think you're an idiot. Please don't go trying to prove me wrong about that.
Bolts from the Blue - General Manager: It is what it isn't
I mean
Wolf’s FIP was in the high 3s, his ERA was not in the 5s.
No, I don't think you're an idiot. Please don't go trying to prove me wrong about that.
Bolts from the Blue - General Manager: It is what it isn't
Yeah.
So LeBlanc pitches 200 innings in PETCO with a FIP in the high 3.00s, he gets 2-3 WAR.
"It is a truth universally acknowledged that a zombie in possession of brains must be in want of more brains."
Bolts From The Blue - Heavy with the facts, slightly less heavy with the opinions.
by Zach (maestro876) on May 14, 2010 3:25 PM PDT up reply actions
Well
200 IP with ~half at Petco. But, yeah, that’s probably right.
No, I don't think you're an idiot. Please don't go trying to prove me wrong about that.
Bolts from the Blue - General Manager: It is what it isn't
And that's how Kevin Correia and Chad Billingsley
can have almost identical innings and FIP, yet Chad gets 3.1 WAR and Kevin only gets 2.4 WAR.
"It is a truth universally acknowledged that a zombie in possession of brains must be in want of more brains."
Bolts From The Blue - Heavy with the facts, slightly less heavy with the opinions.
by Zach (maestro876) on May 14, 2010 3:28 PM PDT up reply actions
Seems to make sense, mathematically.
No, I don't think you're an idiot. Please don't go trying to prove me wrong about that.
Bolts from the Blue - General Manager: It is what it isn't
Keep in mind
I’m not doing anything fancy here to talk about this. Each time Zach is asking me stuff about WAR I keep looking at Dave Cameron’s explanation of how he gets the values
No, I don't think you're an idiot. Please don't go trying to prove me wrong about that.
Bolts from the Blue - General Manager: It is what it isn't
Some good comments on that LA Times article.
I particularly liked this one:
Wow… I wouldn’t expect less coming from the mouth of someone at the Los Angeles Times. I’m not a Padres fan, but I’m glad to see that they are at least showing they know how to play baseball. I think it’s more embarrassing that two of our players equal to the whole payroll of the Padres and we’re performing much worse. We’ll see what happens this next week, but I’m sure that its not going to be nearly as easy as you’re making it out to be. You don’t take baseball for what it is.
Posted by: Nick Theilemann | 05/14/2010 at 08:52 AM
"I'm a Padre at heart. Always gonna root for the Padres. Twenty-five years [with this organization], how can't you? Next year I'm gonna be rooting like a son-of-a-gun for these guys and for Blackie ... I'm gonna be rooting for the next general manager here, rooting for the city, the fans, everybody. I think a lot of San Diego." -Kevin Towers
Vista?
That’s totally Ax.
"I'm a Padre at heart. Always gonna root for the Padres. Twenty-five years [with this organization], how can't you? Next year I'm gonna be rooting like a son-of-a-gun for these guys and for Blackie ... I'm gonna be rooting for the next general manager here, rooting for the city, the fans, everybody. I think a lot of San Diego." -Kevin Towers





























