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Around SBN: The Most Dangerous Division in Sports

Rule 5 Draft

With the Rule 5 draft coming up next week I thought it might be worth while to take a look at some of the more interesting players that are eligible for this year's draft. There is a handy list of all the eligible players for this year's draft here. First off the players in the Padres organization it lists as eligible are:

Nick Schmidt, Aaron Breit, Matt Buschmann, Nathan Culp, Steven Faris, Colt Hynes, Alexis Lara, Anthony Contreras, Andy Parrino, Quentin Berry, Craig Cooper, Hayden Beard, Nick Schumaker, Danny Payne.

I don't see any of those players being drafted and kept on a team for all of 2011, maybe Colt Hynes.

Now here are some position players I think the Padres should take a look at.

 

  Pos Age Level '10 Org Drafted G AVG OBP SLG HR SB
Matt Lawson 2B 24 AA SEA 14th rd 118 .293 .372 .439 9 6
Brad Emaus 2B 24 AAA/AA TOR 11th 125 .290 .397 .476 15 13
Ryan Adams 2B 23 AA BAL 2nd 134 .298 .365 .464 15 2
Marquez Smith 3B/2B? 25 AAA/AA CHC 8th 107 .297 .371 .556 20 2
Steve Clevenger C 24 AA CHC 7th 88 .317 .367 .461 5 0
Justin Sellers SS 24 AAA LAD 6th 90 .285 .360 .456 14 5
Josh Rodriguez SS/2B 25 AAA/AA CLE 2nd 107 .297 .378 .484 13 6
Corey Wimberly SS/2B/OF 26 AAA OAK 6th 135 .284 .373 .354 3 56

Sellers and Lawson are supposed to be + defenders while Wimberly is supposed to be below average. Marquez Smith is a + defender at 3B, but probably average at best at 2B where he only has 32 minor league games played. The rest are some where around average defensively. Brad Emaus and Ryan Adams are probably the most highly regarded, making organizational top prospect lists at some point. With Adams ranking 8th in Baseball America's Orioles prospect list for 2011.

There are also a number of eligible pitchers that could possibly be useful bullpen arms. I mainly looked for guys with high K/9 rates since I consider strike outs kind of a proxy for "stuff", and high strike out guys typically have the best chance of succeeding as relief pitchers

Star-divide

    Age Level Org Drafted G IP ERA WHIP BB/9 K/9
Beau Jones P 23 AA TEX 1st 34 52.2 2.91 1.27 5.1 11
Michael Dubee P 24 AA PIT 18th 46 77.1 2.21 1.073 2.4 7.9
Jay Buente P 26 AAA/AA FLA 14th 34 48.2 3.14 1.315 4.4 10
Michael Broadway P 23 AAA/AA ATL 4th 40 53.1 4.39 1.425 4.2 9.6
Brad Meyers P 24 AA WSN 5th 6 30.2 1.47 0.978 2.1 10
Jason Rice P 24 AA BOS 11th 48 60 2.85 1.25 4.5 11
Eammon Portice P 25 AA BOS 12th 40 93 4.65 1.366 2.4 9.3
Pedro Beato P 23 AA BAL 1st 43 59.2 2.11 1.14 2.9 7.5
Wynn Pelzer P 24 AA BAL 9th 32 114.1 4.25 1.653 5 8.1

Brad Meyers was highly regarded and off to a great start last year, but injured his foot after just 6 starts. Meyers could potentially be a useful back of the rotation starter in the future, but not next year. Wynn Pelzer is the same Wynn Pelzer we traded for Miggy last year, and I think would have a very good chance of being a useful reliever. Even after a down year in 2010 Pelzer is ranked by Baseball America as the Orioles 6th best prospect going into 2011. I don't know why the Orioles can't find a way to fit Pelzer and Adams on their 40 man rosters, but I guess that's their problem.

For those unfamiliar with the rule 5 draft, the wiki article here is pretty helpful. Basically a player is eligible after 5 years in the minors if they were obtained when they were 18 or younger and after 4 years if they were 19 or older. The draft order is the same as it is for the regular June Amateur draft, that is from worst record to last. So we will be something like 22nd this year. A player that is chosen costs $50K and must be kept on the team's active roster for the next season or else offered back to the original team. Not every team picks a player and typically about 15-20 players are chosen in all. Most players chosen are pitchers since it's easier to hide a pitcher in a bullpen for a year than a position player on a bench.

Who knows what Hoyer and Co. will do, if anything, in this year's rule 5 draft, but there is possibly a diamond or two in that rough. With the trade and free agent markets being as thin as they are at middle infield this year and our need for at least one more reliever the rule 5 draft could be a means of the Padres filling a need on the cheap. Who knows maybe Hoyer could find the next Dan Uggla or Joakim Soria.

This FanPost was written by a member of the Gaslamp Ball community and does not necessarily reflect the views of the Gaslamp Ball managers or SB Nation.

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Comments

Display:

(or Johan Santana)

Or, like Santana, maybe Jed can trade for that special player…

Ehhhh, I don't deserve a signature...

by sdchicken on Dec 2, 2010 1:35 AM PST reply actions  

For some reason

Seeing the name Ryan Adams had me laughing like crazy. Too bad he’s not a faceless, slider-tossing goof…

BELIEVE IN SD.

by FriarFaithful4Life on Dec 2, 2010 7:08 PM PST reply actions  

Out of that list

only ones i’m interested in are those that can get on base and have good speed with good defensive skills. Things we are going to need, we are still looking for a bloody lead off hitter so anyone of those guys fit the bill?

Understanding is a three edged sword; your side, their side and the truth.
Bolttalk Podcast - the Best Chargers show on the Web!

by TheAxManCometh on Dec 2, 2010 9:46 PM PST reply actions  

Well, we're looking at possibilities, and it's possible

that some farm systems are deep enough that the club has a star at a position and a couple prospects in the minors that could play that position at the major league level. The better prospect moves up and the lesser, but still good prospect gets bypassed enough to stay in the minors long enough to be exposed to rule 5.

Imagine catchers in the Yankees system. With Posada holding the position so long, that organization has probably had a string of prospects who could have been serviceable major leaguers, but the Yankees would protect only the best prospect. Some of those lesser prospects might have made it if given the chance.

Pujols wasn’t the best 3B prospect in the Cards system until he got the chance in Spring Training, and LaRussa put him on the team and played him at several positions to get his bat in the lineup, and that sure worked out. Did anybody think Tony Gwynn Sr. was a future HOF’er? Even the Dodgers only picked Piazza as a favor to Tommy Lasorda.

You never know until you give the kid a chance in the majors.

NOTE: I reprinted what “wegotballsley” wrote below. I thought it would be funny (like TTG’s post, from whom I stole the idea).

by Zen Blade on Dec 3, 2010 9:54 AM PST up reply actions  

Out of that list

only ones i’m interested in are those that can get on base and have good speed with good defensive skills. Things we are going to need, we are still looking for a bloody lead off hitter so anyone of those guys fit the bill?

Understanding is a three edged sword; your side, their side and the truth.
Bolttalk Podcast - the Best Chargers show on the Web!

by TheAxManCometh on Dec 2, 2010 9:46 PM PST reply actions  

Well, we're looking at possibilities, and it's possible

that some farm systems are deep enough that the club has a star at a position and a couple prospects in the minors that could play that position at the major league level. The better prospect moves up and the lesser, but still good prospect gets bypassed enough to stay in the minors long enough to be exposed to rule 5.

Imagine catchers in the Yankees system. With Posada holding the position so long, that organization has probably had a string of prospects who could have been serviceable major leaguers, but the Yankees would protect only the best prospect. Some of those lesser prospects might have made it if given the chance.

Pujols wasn’t the best 3B prospect in the Cards system until he got the chance in Spring Training, and LaRussa put him on the team and played him at several positions to get his bat in the lineup, and that sure worked out. Did anybody think Tony Gwynn Sr. was a future HOF’er? Even the Dodgers only picked Piazza as a favor to Tommy Lasorda.

You never know until you give the kid a chance in the majors.

by wegotballsley on Dec 3, 2010 7:40 AM PST up reply actions  

Clay Zavada

That’s the guy they should be taking a chance on. He had TJ in May, so they could stash him on the DL for a while yet.

by Derek Snyder on Dec 4, 2010 4:07 AM PST reply actions  

…they could stash ’stache him on the DL…

www.FriarsOnCardboard.blogspot.com
"jbox does not drink coffee, as it makes him clean house big time." ~Kev

by TheThinGwynn on Dec 4, 2010 1:05 PM PST reply actions  

Shit.

Nice use of the reply button, TTG.

www.FriarsOnCardboard.blogspot.com
"jbox does not drink coffee, as it makes him clean house big time." ~Kev

by TheThinGwynn on Dec 4, 2010 1:06 PM PST up reply actions  

I don't see us having a roster spot for a Rule 5 draftee

Unless we trade someone for players who won’t go on the 40 man or the draftee gets one of the remaining starting spots or we make Luebke or LeBlanc the 5th starter or we make Everth Cabrera the starter at 2B or SS and the draftee is a backup MI or the draftee is a backup catcher/ All of those scenarios seem unlikely to me.

The National League West title was all but a lock,
Then they lost 10 in a row, ‘twas like a punch in the jock!

Bolts from the Blue - General Manager: It is what it isn't

by Wonko on Dec 6, 2010 11:31 PM PST reply actions  

The signing of Moseley

Makes the odds of them getting someone in the rule 5 unlikely.

Kind of unrelated question, Wonko (or anyone else) you know if Hoffpauir is out of options going into 2011?

by Antonio Olivares on Dec 7, 2010 5:42 PM PST reply actions  

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