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Around SBN: Devils Beat Rangers, Head To Stanley Cup Finals

The Padres are closing in on the worst July record in franchise history

With four games left in July, the Padres need to win all of them to avoid getting the worst July record since the 1969 inaugural season.  By the way, I also ran a few calculations and there is zero chance that the Padres are going to win 4 straight games. (Apparently there is a 4.35% chance of the Padres winning the remaining 4 games)

The one good thing you can take away from this suckfest is that now when crusty old fans from '69 tell you about all the bad Padres baseball they sat through you can tell them to suck it, because you sat through July in '09.

Season

Wins

Losses

%

2009

4

20

0.167

1969

7

19

0.269

2005

8

18

0.308

1976

10

20

0.333

1971

10

19

0.345

 

Apparently the UT has figured out that they are also approaching the record for the Worst Month in Padres history.  The 1969 record is 5-22.

Do me a favor and view the full stats after the jump, because it took a long time to compile and I spilled a full bottle of water all over my computer and mouse in the process.

Stats after the jump!

Star-divide

Season

Wins

Losses

%

2009

4

20

0.167

1969

7

19

0.269

2005

8

18

0.308

1976

10

20

0.333

1971

10

19

0.345

1990

10

19

0.345

1970

9

17

0.346

1973

10

18

0.357

1994

10

18

0.357

1974

9

16

0.360

2008

9

16

0.360

1985

10

16

0.385

2007

10

16

0.385

1995

11

17

0.393

1993

11

16

0.407

1991

10

14

0.417

1980

11

15

0.423

1987

11

14

0.440

2002

11

14

0.440

1972

12

15

0.444

1999

12

15

0.444

2000

12

15

0.444

1977

13

16

0.448

1982

13

16

0.448

1986

12

14

0.462

1983

13

15

0.464

1989

12

13

0.480

1975

14

15

0.483

2006

13

13

0.500

1979

14

13

0.519

1988

14

12

0.538

2003

14

12

0.538

1992

15

12

0.556

1996

15

12

0.556

2001

14

11

0.560

1978

17

13

0.567

1997

16

11

0.593

2004

17

10

0.630

1984

19

11

0.633

1998

18

8

0.692

1981

-

-

-

Poll
How will the Padres finish July 2009?
4-24
16 votes
5-23
30 votes
6-22
23 votes
7-21
5 votes
8-20
3 votes

77 votes | Poll has closed

Comment 39 comments  |  0 recs  | 

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Comments

Display:

Is this a freefall in a vaccuum

or will they reach some kind of terminal velocity?

Stay tuned!

Isn't it enough to know that I ruined a pony making a gift for you? ◔ヮ◔
Uncommon Sportsman :: Absurdity in play

by Axion on Jul 28, 2009 11:40 AM PDT reply actions  

Brutal month

Also, there are a lot more Julys with losing records in the history, than winning ones.

by strummer on Jul 28, 2009 11:43 AM PDT reply actions  

I believe the jump he is referring to

is that if we all jump right before we hit the bottom, we won’t be crushed by the impact. But I believe the Mythbusters busted that one.

"And now for something completely different"

by Boilermaker19 on Jul 28, 2009 12:18 PM PDT up reply actions  

It's a good thing

Let the Bryce Harper watch begin! Only 6 1/2 back/ahead of the Nats. We might be thankful for that sweep last weekend for the next 10 years if it’s means the difference.

by RJK on Jul 28, 2009 11:55 AM PDT reply actions  

I know it seems like it

but we weren’t swept by the Nationals. We actually won the first game, and Latos got his first MLB win.

Love we shine like a burning star
We're falling from the sky tonight

by Zach (maestro876) on Jul 28, 2009 12:02 PM PDT up reply actions  

Funny

I don’t remember seeing that game on the TV. Must not have happened.

Memo to baseball managers: You manufacture runs by NOT making outs, not by making them on purpose.

by Wonko on Jul 28, 2009 12:08 PM PDT up reply actions   1 recs

I just wish they didn't sweep the Nationals last year.

Cost us Strasburg. Maybe this year will be different.

Love we shine like a burning star
We're falling from the sky tonight

by Zach (maestro876) on Jul 28, 2009 12:50 PM PDT up reply actions  

depressing

I paid for mlb.tv so i have to keep watching this attempt at major league baseball.

When you eat a candy bar or have a wonderful dessert, have a diet drink. The calories are cancelled out by the diet drink.

by james b on Jul 28, 2009 12:04 PM PDT reply actions  

Shocking!

With this team, I thought we would have at least forty wins by now!

by dairyking887 on Jul 28, 2009 12:07 PM PDT reply actions  

Looking at those

make me realize how consistently terrible our organization has been. Also, having a good July equals World Series appearance.

by soulSD on Jul 28, 2009 12:08 PM PDT reply actions  

I did a little math using the Log5 win probability formula

The Padres (using an adjusted winning percentage of 38.2%, and adjusted winning percentages for the Reds ad Brewers of 41.3% and 45.2% respectively) have a 46.8% chance of beating the Reds once and thus a 10.2 % chance of beating them in 3 straight and a 42.8% chance of beating the Brewers once, so that makes a 4.38% chance that they will win 4 straight to end July.

Sorry to disagree with you calculations jbox ;)

Memo to baseball managers: You manufacture runs by NOT making outs, not by making them on purpose.

by Wonko on Jul 28, 2009 12:29 PM PDT reply actions  

4.38% to win all 4

What is the chance we lose all 4?

by soulSD on Jul 28, 2009 12:32 PM PDT up reply actions  

10.65% that we lose all 4

Memo to baseball managers: You manufacture runs by NOT making outs, not by making them on purpose.

by Wonko on Jul 28, 2009 12:46 PM PDT up reply actions  

I did some math, too

At least I started to, but then I was all “Screw this. Math is stupid. Wonko will do it for me.”

Drama is an a-hole.

by Winfield's Ghost on Jul 28, 2009 3:06 PM PDT up reply actions   2 recs

Happy 40th!

Memo to baseball managers: You manufacture runs by NOT making outs, not by making them on purpose.

by Wonko on Jul 28, 2009 12:50 PM PDT up reply actions  

you know what we should do now ..

give everybody in the front office promotions, and re up the manager ..

552

by wrveres on Jul 28, 2009 12:52 PM PDT reply actions  

Are any GLB'ers going to be on hand to witness this historic series?

I’m thinking about going to either the Wednesday or Thursday game. I once had all of the air sucked out of me, and I kind of liked the feeling.

"And now for something completely different"

by Boilermaker19 on Jul 28, 2009 12:53 PM PDT reply actions  

not a bad idea ..

and we can boo every time they get a hit .. all three times.

then again, you just know this team will ruin it, and rattle off four wins.

552

by wrveres on Jul 28, 2009 12:56 PM PDT up reply actions  

2009 Padres.

We ruin everything.

Love we shine like a burning star
We're falling from the sky tonight

by Zach (maestro876) on Jul 28, 2009 1:16 PM PDT up reply actions  

I had a ticket to Friday's game

But I sacrificed it to the season ticket exchange program gods and got one for this Saturday instead. But, I don’t think that’s what you’re talking about since I know you live closer to Cincy than San Diego.

Memo to baseball managers: You manufacture runs by NOT making outs, not by making them on purpose.

by Wonko on Jul 28, 2009 12:58 PM PDT up reply actions  

The padres are so bad

its left Paul DePodesta speechless.

I wonder what ever happened to his blog. What could he possibly be doing that’s more important than taking shit from the loyal fans of the FRIAR!

552

by wrveres on Jul 28, 2009 1:05 PM PDT reply actions  

wrong!

Memo to baseball managers: You manufacture runs by NOT making outs, not by making them on purpose.

by Wonko on Jul 28, 2009 2:16 PM PDT up reply actions   1 recs

also looking at that list

2005, 2007, 2008, 2009 are all in the top 10 … uggh

552

by wrveres on Jul 28, 2009 1:08 PM PDT reply actions  

To be fair

with only 40 seasons, the top 10 makes for a strange sample selection.

Isn't it enough to know that I ruined a pony making a gift for you? ◔ヮ◔
Uncommon Sportsman :: Absurdity in play

by Axion on Jul 28, 2009 1:28 PM PDT up reply actions  

The UT is apparently trying to 1 up you jbox

They are claiming that without winning two of the next 4 games in July they would tie or finish 1 win less the 1969 Padres for worst month in their history.

Memo to baseball managers: You manufacture runs by NOT making outs, not by making them on purpose.

by Wonko on Jul 28, 2009 2:25 PM PDT reply actions  

That article was published to the web at 2:07 PM

They may have just stolen your idea and gussied it up with some intern research.

Memo to baseball managers: You manufacture runs by NOT making outs, not by making them on purpose.

by Wonko on Jul 28, 2009 2:43 PM PDT up reply actions  

"may have"

-Diplomatic Wonko

Isn't it enough to know that I ruined a pony making a gift for you? ◔ヮ◔
Uncommon Sportsman :: Absurdity in play

by Axion on Jul 28, 2009 3:34 PM PDT up reply actions  

I left out any accusations

Since the article may have been put in one of the tangible versions of the paper this morning and not updated to website until this afternoon. I’ll have to find one of those old-timey newspapery things before pointing fingers.

Memo to baseball managers: You manufacture runs by NOT making outs, not by making them on purpose.

by Wonko on Jul 28, 2009 4:05 PM PDT up reply actions  

Found one in the break room

Bill Center’s article was in there complete with mention of the losingest month.

Memo to baseball managers: You manufacture runs by NOT making outs, not by making them on purpose.

by Wonko on Jul 28, 2009 4:10 PM PDT up reply actions  

true

Memo to baseball managers: You manufacture runs by NOT making outs, not by making them on purpose.

by Wonko on Jul 28, 2009 8:50 PM PDT up reply actions  

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