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Bill James 2010 Projections: Padres Pitchers

I've been sitting on the rest of these projections for the Padres because it's a pain in the ass to transcribe the PDF over to a table in HTML. Rather than do that, I'll just upload the set of projections from the Bill James Handbook and we can talk about them in a civilized manner here.

I will also note that, after reading through the book itself, it's tough to judge it just based on the projections. They mention especially with pitchers how difficult (and pointless) it is to try to project something like wins or ERA considering how many things beyond the pitchers' control goes into these things.

Also, if you're gonna buy the book, here's a link to Amazon.

Now some notes on the projections:

  • Heath Bell is projected to lead the league in saves yet again. Also projected to mention how the new Wii Fit Plus will allow him to drink that much more beer while maintaining his svelte physique.
  • Kevin Correia is projected to lead the team in wins with 11. Clayton Richard follows with 9. To be fair, there aren't a whole lot of Padres pitchers even projected to start games for us.
  • Luke Gregerson is projected to do well again. Maybe a holdover closer if we can get value for Heath Bell? Hmmmmm?

In any case, it will be good to revisit these numbers once we start settling in a bit as to who our pitchers will be, but if that happens, then we won't be able to transfer over the ERA and W/L projections, so maybe it'll be a little bit hopeless.

(Also, yes. This is another post with an Amazon link. I'm trying to save for the holiday season.)

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Some good ones and some bad

Hot picks-
Kyle Blanks: 25HR 89 RC .837 OPS
Chase Headley: .284 BA 87 RC .819 OPS
Everth Cabrera: 74 RC 37 SB .353 OBP

Not so hot picks-
Sean Gallagher: 35 G 4 GS
Josh Geer: 23 GS!!!

Big kid tested, mother fucker approved

by CurbEnthusiasm on Nov 16, 2009 7:20 PM PST reply actions  

btw thanks dex

:)

Big kid tested, mother fucker approved

by CurbEnthusiasm on Nov 16, 2009 7:20 PM PST up reply actions  

Yep, Everth sure is a hot pick.

"I'm a Padre at heart. Always gonna root for the Padres. Twenty-five years [with this organization], how can't you? Next year I'm gonna be rooting like a son-of-a-gun for these guys and for Blackie ... I'm gonna be rooting for the next general manager here, rooting for the city, the fans, everybody. I think a lot of San Diego." -Kevin Towers

by jodes0405 on Nov 16, 2009 8:24 PM PST up reply actions  

Looks good

IF Blanks, Chase and Everth produce like that, it should be a competitive year.

"Over? Did you say "over"? Nothing is over until we decide it is! Was it over when the Germans bombed Pearl Harbor? Hell no!"

by Ron Mexico on Nov 17, 2009 8:30 AM PST up reply actions  

No Latos projections?

What’s the matter, no 3 year average to steal from?

Isn't it enough to know that I ruined a pony making a gift for you? ◔ヮ◔
Uncommon Sportsman :: Absurdity in play

by Axion on Nov 17, 2009 9:09 AM PST reply actions  

lulz

Mountain West Connection ::Above the Rest::
Bolts From The Blue "There’s a gleam men. Let’s go get the gleam! Focus and Finish!!! One play at a time!!! Let's Go!!!"
Representing the San Diego State University Aztecs, home of the 2009 College Cheerleading National Champions in the all women's division.

by Sam (sdsuaztec4) on Nov 17, 2009 9:45 AM PST up reply actions  

Wow. This was a great article. Not.

by Cropdusta on Nov 18, 2009 11:13 PM PST reply actions  

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