Blame where it is due
Unlike most of you, I didn't have the luxury of suffering through another frustrating week of Padres baseball. Mercifully, the only baseball-related information I was able to acquire on my cruise amounted to a quick score (not even a box or a line with it).
So we're 12-20, the worst team in baseball. There's got to be a reason for this, right? Everyone looks at the Front Office and blames them for not building a good team. But let me tell you something.
It is not the Front Office's fault that we have the worst record in baseball.
Read that again.
It is not the Front Office's fault that we have the worst record in baseball.
Here are my reasons:
- For the most part, we are the same team we were last year. We have effectively only replaced two position players, Cameron and Giles. While Edmonds is an obvious step back, Iguchi should be a step forward. Our rotation only has one change (and Wolf > Wells), while our bullpen has only seen a few new faces. The core group of guys remains the same. There is ABSOLUTELY NO WAY the Front Office could predict that the team would fail to play up to their career averages. Bard has been terrible. Khalil has no power. Giles can't get on-base to save his life. Hairston was apparently nothing more than a fluke. Thatcher appears to be a fluke as well. Hoffman has struggled. K-Cam is getting lit up worse than TTG on Cinco de Mayo.
- The starting rotation. It's been nails. Germano has been a question mark, but he's our fifth starter. CY seems to finally be getting back in stride and Peavy and Maddux have been more of the same from last year. Wolf has dazzled.
- Bud Black is an idiot. Some would say that the Front Office should be responsible for this, but Black didn't look quite so ineffective last year. Sure, he made a few questionnable moves, but for the most part, it was a brilliant rookie campaign. This year has been quite different. He's using the wrong people at the wrong times. He's not even using half the people on his roster. Just as they shouldn't be blamed for not predicting the utter collapse of the team, the Front Office cannot be blamed for failing to predict that Black would stop adhering to logic and reason.
There is one thing the Front Office is culpable for. The farm system is currently not in a place where we can recover from a disastrous start. Whereas other teams have players they can patch in when their players struggle, we have nothing. We're about another year out from any meaningful production from our farm guys, and to the team's credit, they've done their best to remedy this. The farm system is better than it's been, but the horrible management of the system from 2000 through 2004 has left us severely crippled right now.
But as we sit here broken hearted, lets make sure we target the right people with our criticism. The Front Office COULD HAVE NEVER predicted that the team would stop playing to it's average production. They cannot be held responsible for the utter failure of the (mostly) same personnel that excelled last year. The players have played like shit Rally Backs, and our manager seems like he's letting the tidal forces of the moon influence the majority of his decisions. This team sucks right now, but it's the team's fault. There are things that Kevin Towers, Sandy Alderson, et. al could have done better, but they don't play the games on the field.
In short, blame Canada.
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Damn
I was hoping you were gonna blame sdsuaztec4. Totally disappointed.
by Winfield's Ghost on
May 6, 2008 8:30 AM PDT
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Correction
At post time, we are tied with the worst team in baseball: The Colorado Rockies
Where is your god now?
The right man in the wrong place can make all the difference in the world.
by Axion on
May 6, 2008 8:42 AM PDT
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There were a couple of gambles
Losing Milton Bradley was a really big hit. I really got the feeling that Milton Bradley was a spark for this team last year and there’s nobody on the offense that will step up and take control of the team. Really who would the captain of the Padres be? No clubhouse leader.
by Dex on
May 6, 2008 8:49 AM PDT
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Agreed
but that’s not necessarily a fault of the Front Office. You don’t get players to be team leaders. You get players so that they don’t suck.
Apparently our players missed the memo.
by Phantom on
May 6, 2008 8:54 AM PDT
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actually, i sidetracked myself with the team leader thing
Regarding the gambles: We lose Milton Bradley and Cameron and we go with the Edmonds gamble and the Hairston/P-Mac gamble. Then we gamble on Wolf and Prior.
By that count, we’re losing on the LF and CF gambles and so far winning on the 4th starter gamble. Combined with bad luck out of the bullpen and bad luck with Barrett, we’re getting stuck. I think we knew going in that we wouldn’t have much room for gambles to not pay off so you could blame that on the front office.
by Dex on
May 6, 2008 9:04 AM PDT
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It's a pretty easy flip to see the Padres at 16-16 right now.
Honestly, I think a combination of 2 singles in the right spot and 2 managerial moves (in the starting lineup, or pulling a starter at the right moment, or getting a new reliever in) would have the Padres at .500. It wouldn’t be great, but it wouldn’t exactly be ditch the season/call up the kids time either.
All told, that’s not much. I was big on Hairston after last year, I had soured some on Cameron, and thought that Bradley wouldn’t see more than 100 games even if we got him back. Some of those bets were wrong….but I still think it was hard for anyone to see THIS coming.
I was expecting, as I’ve said before, a so-so team with a chance to luck into a Wild Card if the NL proved mostly equal and mostly anemic. I wasn’t expecting anything this bad. And I’m not sure it’s fair to lay that at the front office. Hairston was a gamble, but Bard and Greene? Edmonds wasn’t going to be 2004 Jim Edmonds….but I didn’t think he’d be 2006 Mark Bellhorn.
by goose1 on
May 6, 2008 9:15 AM PDT
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what I was saying though
Is that some of the gambles actually are working to a certain extent… like Wolf and Iguchi. But if you take them all into account, we start to realize how much had to go right for us to really be competitive this year. Not that the year is over of course, but I’m anxious to actually see some real changes.
by Dex on
May 6, 2008 9:37 AM PDT
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That's exactly
my point. Nobody could have predicted the drop-off from our returning players that we are currently seeing. Nobody would have expected Khalil, Bard, and Giles to suck this badly.
by Phantom on
May 6, 2008 9:45 AM PDT
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Brian Giles doesn't suck
I think he’s playing to exactly where we would expect him to be, if not a little bit better even. Bard’s likely a result of the Barrett injury. Khalil’s a tough one to figure.
by Dex on
May 6, 2008 9:52 AM PDT
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Yeah Giles is doing pretty well
If he stays healthy, he should be right back around 100+ walks, 15ish HRs this year. I’ll take that.
by Dalton on
May 6, 2008 9:58 AM PDT
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I didn't trust Gillies at leadoff
Sure I know he’s a walk machine, but the speed isn’t there. So far, with the exception of the speed that I’d like to see in that spot, he has not disappointed. And hell, pitchers getting hits are giving him RBI opportunities!
The right man in the wrong place can make all the difference in the world.
by Axion on
May 6, 2008 10:49 AM PDT
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You don't want speed from the leadoff position
It’s basically wasted that way since you don’t want to steal with your best hitters up. Plus steal attempts decrease hitter effectiveness, again not the best thing to do to your best hitters.
I watched all 23 innings and all I got was this lousy signature.
by Wonko on
May 7, 2008 7:51 PM PDT
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Disagree
It’s not wasted. You do want speed in the leadoff slot for exactly the reason you said – because your best hitters follow. I don’t want the leadoff guy to be stealing bases, but I do want him to be able to go from first to third and second to home on base hits. I want him to go from first to home on a double. I want him to be agressive on a wild pitch or a passed ball or an error. Speed at the top of the order puts a lot of pressure on the defense even without stealing bases.
by Winfield's Ghost on
May 8, 2008 8:57 AM PDT
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That only works if you're speed guy gets on base
Giles gets on base at such a high rate that there are few guys faster than him that match that. The opportunities to score supplied from a .400 on base percentage very much outweighs the few opportunities even the fast guys get at taking first to third.
The main reason fast guys are at the top of the lineup is because the theory goes that they will be able to find ways to get on base. But many fast guys can’t hit as well as their slower counterparts and the speed doesn’t make up the difference.
The first to third stuff sounds well and good in theory, but it really doesn’t lead to much more run scoring. Your middle of the order hitters can get a guy in from first with pretty much the same success rate as from second. And the difference between a runner on second and a runner on third is very minimal, especially with the middle of the order coming up. You’re much better off just have more guys on base then having them trying to take extra bases.
Now if you want to talk about the bottom of the order, that is a different story. Speed players batting in front of weaker hitters helps run scoring a lot. I guess you could make the argument that the Padres are full of weak hitters, but speed isn’t gonna help that enough to make a difference.
I watched all 23 innings and all I got was this lousy signature.
by Wonko on
May 8, 2008 6:04 PM PDT
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The last three seasons or some perspective
The Padres hitting performance for the last three seasons has actually pretty much sucked as well, we were just fortunate to have great to miraculous pitching accompanied by Greenie, Gonzalez and Cameron saving us the occasional run with their gloves
2005 Team Hitting .257 25th
2006 Team Hitting .263 23rd
2007 Team Hitting .251 28th
In fact, only one top ten offense in the last decade, the 2004 season, and that was also the only time the Pads have not been in the bottom third of baseball offenses in the last ten years.
Maybe I’m just talking out of my butt…please correct my thinking where appropriate.
If you can't be a good example, at least serve as a horrible warning...
by pasadenapadre on
May 6, 2008 10:00 AM PDT
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Here's your perspective, though
In 2007, we were number one in team ERA
In 2006, we were number two in team ERA
in 2005, we were number 14, but we had the second-most embarassing record for winning a division
thus far, we are 16th.
A bat, a bat, my kingdom for a bat! - Jake Peavy (loosely translated)
by Boilermaker19 on
May 6, 2008 1:56 PM PDT
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*headscratch
Did you do that backwards?
The right man in the wrong place can make all the difference in the world.
by Axion on
May 6, 2008 3:18 PM PDT
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Nevermind!
The right man in the wrong place can make all the difference in the world.
by Axion on
May 6, 2008 3:19 PM PDT
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For the 2009 season
replace Bud Black with Greg Maddux.
A schizophrenic patient will not allow anyone to touch them; not because they would do them some harm, but because they might electrocute them.
by overand on
May 6, 2008 11:26 AM PDT
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NOBODY...
...predicted the Edmonds, Hairston, Bard, McNaulty, Greene, Giles, Barrett disposition! Their chief weapon is surprise…surprise and fear…fear and surprise…. Their two weapons are fear and surprise…and ruthless efficiency…. Their three weapons are fear, surprise, and ruthless efficiency…and an almost fanatical devotion to the sun…. Their four...no… Amongst their weapons…. Amongst their weaponry…are such elements as fear, surprise…. we’ll start the season again.
"We've... we've got lumps of it 'round the back."
by ABY on
May 6, 2008 11:45 AM PDT
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The real culprits...
...are those G-d-awful uniforms. Seriously—tan and blue? I bet our hitters would mash if they didn’t look like they had just stepped out of an Eddie Bauer catalog.
by Bip Roberts on
May 6, 2008 3:38 PM PDT
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not that it has much to do with how they are playing
but i feel like some time this team lacks passion
not that they don’t care about how it goes and that they aren’t trying and frustrated…
but remember when Mark Sweeney started the Pelo thing… it just made it seem more fun and passionate
i’d like to see them have a little bit more fun and a little bit more fire to them
I’d rather blame Istanbul though
Friendship's more lasting than love, and more legal than stalking.
by C8LIN B on
May 6, 2008 4:25 PM PDT
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For once Phantom and I completely agree
The one thing that is missing here is that players over the course of the season are much more likely to perform to their career performances than their April/May performances. It’s pretty reasonable to believe that they will perform better the rest of the year. The problem is still that with everyone sucking it is virtually guaranteed that no one will have a breakout year, and I think it was pretty well understood that this team needed a breakout year or two in order to hang with the NL West competition. I believe that in the end, with a few tweaks, this team will prove management (somewhat) right and no longer lose at the current rate, but basically has tossed out any reasonable chance at the division title by digging the hole it is in. This is very similar to the 2005 team, but with better divisional competition and the pitching and hitting roles reversed.
I watched all 23 innings and all I got was this lousy signature.
by Wonko on
May 7, 2008 7:58 PM PDT
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tl;dr
Hairy and Kouz are sucking it now, but they weren’t at the end of last season.
Did the lungfish refuse to breathe air? It did not.
It crept forth boldly while its brethren remained in the blackest ocean abyss, with lidless eyes forever staring at the dark, ignorant and doomed despite their eternal vigilance.
by overand on
May 8, 2008 1:15 AM PDT
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Blame where blame is due.
I Blame Phantom for leaving the bathroom. And for working for High Desert instead of Lake Elsinore. Otherwise, he’s a great fantasy partner.
Me fail English? That's unpossible!
by sdsuaztec4 on
May 8, 2008 6:12 PM PDT
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