How will Trevor do in May?

by LynchMob on Apr 27, 2008 8:47 PM PDT

At jbox' suggestion ...

This mimic's a poll I have posted at predictify.com, as linked to in this FanPost:

http://www.gaslampball.com/2008/4/26/461256/is-trevor-done

If you have a better way to pose a question about how Trevor will perform in the near-term, please do so ... the "closer" situation with the Padres is pretty complex right now because I don't believe they have an option that's clearly better than Trevor.

But I am convinced that Trevor will not be successful >80% of the time from here on out ... based primarily on what I've seen from him a few times ... and comments made by a friend of mine who has seen all of his outings so far this season ... and being heavily swayed by the walk he issued to Jose Cruz Jr with 2-outs in the 9th inning on April 2nd (http://www.baseball-reference.com/boxes/SDN/SDN200804020.shtml).

Poll

What will be the ratio of the number of Saves + Wins that Trevor Hoffman gets credited with versus the number of Blown Saves + Losses that Trevor Hoffman gets credited with, during the month of May, 2008?

> 4 (ie. roughly >80% success)

39 votes

2-4 (ie. roughly 65% to 80% success)

18 votes

1-2 (ie. roughly 50% to 65% success)

6 votes

<50% success)

8 votes

71 votes | Poll has closed

This FanPost was written by a member of the Gaslamp Ball community and does not necessarily reflect the views of the Gaslamp Ball managers or SB Nation.

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Comments

How will Trevor do?

I think this argument is pretty moot since we actually have to get a lead for this to matter.

Well Padres, you tried your best and you failed miserably. The lesson is, never try.

by Sam (sdsuaztec4) on Apr 27, 2008 10:17 PM PDT reply actions 3 recs

LOL!

(recommend)

If you can't be a good example, at least serve as a horrible warning...

by pasadenapadre on Apr 27, 2008 10:24 PM PDT up reply actions

actually i wanna take my vote back

trevor will convert all his saves in may because it’s may.

by Dex on Apr 28, 2008 10:47 AM PDT reply actions

Indeed ...

That is part of what makes this a “trick question” :-)

Seriously, the team and Trevor have started slow in previous seasons … why isn’t 2008 just a replay of that?

I’m still spooked by the surgery Hoffman had after last season … and what appears to be very significant drop in his control …

by LynchMob on Apr 28, 2008 1:51 PM PDT up reply actions

oh i'm not bailing on the team yet

that usually comes much later in the season after many more heartbreaking losses. that being said, just knowing that it’s still early doesn’t make it any easier. it doesn’t help that the diamondbacks are the front runners and have been off to such a hot start. in other divisions, we’d only be a game or two out. :)

by Dex on Apr 28, 2008 2:00 PM PDT up reply actions