2008 Padres Predictions
Last year I predicted the Padres would finish with 90 wins and the NL West title. I was right that it would take 90 wins to capture the NL West, I just picked the wrong team. Instead we ended with 89 Wins and a third place finish.
A couple Gaslamp Ballers picked the correct number of wins but nobody got both the place and correct record.
A lot of the predictions were really vague in the last couple of years. I want exact predictions. Give me the total number of wins and the place in the division, bare minimum.
Bonus points for those who pick the correct places for all teams in the NL West. Feel free to make other predictions as well: World Series Champion, injuries, Wild Cards or whatever else you want.
I want you to really reach down into your psychic core and connect with the future. Meditate on your prediction then post it. It's that easy.
Here's my prediction:
Padres 83 Wins / 4th Place
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89 wins
again and the wild card. Our instability in the OF is negated by Wolf, Prior, and Iguchi.
If anyone finishes with more than 89 wins, it will be the D-backs. The Rox are a joke, as are the Dodgers.
NL Central - Cubs 86 wins
NL East - Braves - 88 wins
AL West - Mariners 85 wins
AL Central - Tigers 96 wins
AL East - Yankees 90 wins
Wild Card - Indians 93 wins
That's right Boston. Suck it.
From there:
Padres over Cubs in 4
Braves over D-Backs in 3
Padres over Braves in 6
Indians over Yankees in 5
Tigers over Mariners in 3
Tigers over Indians in 7
Tigers over Padres in 6
NL West
1. Los Angeles Dodgers (93-69)
2. Arizona Diamondbacks (91-71)
3. San Diego Padres (82-80)
4. Colorado Rockies (81-81)
5. Las Vegas 51s
6. Tucson Sidewinders
7. Colorado Springs Sky Sox
8. San Francisco Giants (70-92)
Other Division Winners
NL Central: Brewers
NL East: Mets
NL Wildcard: Braves
AL West: Angels
AL Central: Tigers
AL East: Red Sox
AL Wildcard: Indians
Playoffs
Mets over Brewers, Dodgers over Braves
Tigers over Angels, Red Sox over Indians
Mets over Dodgers, Red Sox over Tigers
Mets over Red Sox
NL MVP: Ryan Braun
AL MVP: Miguel Cabrera
NL CY: Brad Penny
AL CY: Daisuke Matsuzaka
NL ROY: oh, what the hell...Chase Headley
AL ROY: Jacoby Ellsbury
Random predictions:
- Bonds will return, and play for either the A's, Twins, Mariners, or Rays.
- Matt Holiday will lead the majors with 49 HRs
- A player will steal more than 85 bases this season
- The AL will win the overall interleague matchup with a .610 record vs the NL
- Mark Prior will pick up his first win as a Padre before July 4th
- Trevor Hoffman will save fewer than 38 games this year
- Joba Chamberlain will lead the majors in K/9
- An NL Central pitcher will throw a no-hitter
- A manager will be fired before Memorial Day
- One of the following players will go on an extended (over 15 day) DL stint: A-Rod, David Ortiz, Andy Pettitte, Ryan Zimmerman, Miguel Cabrera, or Cole Hamels
- The first benches-clearing, suspension-warranting brawl will happen between Memorial and Independence Day, and there will be none preceding or following those dates
- Livan Hernandez will throw over 200 IP this year, again. Because he's a robot.
- An announcer in the AL West will be reprimanded/suspended/fired for an inappropriate comment
And lastly.....
Padres' overall home attendance will be 2,187,391 (I have NO clue whether or not this is ridiculously high or low)
by California Penal on Mar 27, 2008 5:02 PM PDT reply actions
Weird
Do you really think the Giants will be better than Portland?
"Winfield's head hits the wall! It's rolling toward second base!" - Jerry Coleman
by metalsupplier on Mar 28, 2008 10:56 AM PDT up reply actions
Yes, because we'll need our best players up from Portland for the stretch run :)
by California Penal on Mar 28, 2008 12:44 PM PDT up reply actions
Accuse me of not liking the Padres Jbox
1. Padres 89 wins
2. Dbags 86 wins
3. Dodgers 82 wins
4. Rockies 80 Wins
5. Giants 62 Wins
NL East- Mets
NL Central-Cubs
WC-Phillies
AL West-Halos
AL East-Bombers
AL Central-Indians
WC-Red Socks
...the man who isn't a pessimist is a damned fool.-Mark Twain
by Sam (sdsuaztec4) on Mar 27, 2008 5:58 PM PDT reply actions
Oops
Tigers in WC, not the Red Sux
...the man who isn't a pessimist is a damned fool.-Mark Twain
by Sam (sdsuaztec4) on Mar 27, 2008 7:13 PM PDT up reply actions
Predictatron
1. Little Baby Snakes 92 wins
2. Padres 87 wins
3. Purple Dinosaurs 84 Wins
4. Smoggy Smog Smoggers 81 wins
5. Giant Losers 71 Wins
NL East- Mets
NL Central-Cubs
WC-Padres
AL West-A's
AL East-Red Sox
AL Central-Indians
WC-Tigers
I don't have to always be right. I just have to always think I'm right.
Predict it.
NL WEST
Arizona 94-68
Colorado 88-74
San Diego 85-77
Los Angeles 83-79
San Francisco 76-86
NL Central: Milwaukee
NL East: Atlanta
NL Wildcard: Philadelphia
AL West: Seattle
AL Central: Detroit
AL East: Tampa Bay (Pipe dream, I know...)
AL Wildcard: Cleveland
Division Series
Arizona over Atlanta
Philadelphia over Milwaukee
Detroit over Seattle
Tampa Bay over Cleveland
Championship Series
Arizona over Philadelphia
Tampa Bay over Detroit (I know, I'm dreaming...)
World Series
Arizona over Tampa Bay
Major Awards
NL MVP: Mark Teixiera
AL MVP: Miguel Cabrera
NL CY: Brandon Webb
AL CY: Scott Kazmir
NL ROY: Jayson Nix
AL ROY: Evan Longoria
Misc. Padres Predictions
Greg Maddux will win his 18th Gold Glove.
No Padre will make 100 starts in the outfield.
Chris Young will make 30 starts.
Khalil Greene will play less than 120 games.
Kevin Kouzmanoff will not hit .100 in April again.
Trevor Hoffman will save at least 35 games.
The Padres will take a shot in the dark at the deadline and find an offensive spark for the 3rd straight season (following Branyan and Bradley, to say nothing of Hairston).
Justin Germano will win 15 games.
Mark Prior will make less than 5 starts.
Jim Edmonds will play less than 50 games.
Josh Bard will throw out at least 5% of opposing basestealers (a pipe dream, I know...).
A Padre will hit for the cycle in 2008, but the no-hitter streak will continue...
Jake Peavy will lead the league in punchouts (who else?).
Brian Giles will lead the league in tanning booth visits.
Matt Vasgersian will lead the league in games missed due to FOX obligations.
Mark Grant will lead the league in "Hockey Suit!" references.
Steve Quis will lead the league in overexuberance.
Trevor Hoffman will lead the league in class.
A PREDICTION FOR EACH TEAM
SF: Matt Cain will lead the league in lowest run support and Scott Hairston homers allowed.
LAD: Nomar Garciaparra and Jeff Kent will combine to play less than 100 games.
COL: The Rockies' pitching staff will have an ERA over 4.50.
ARZ: Dan Haren and Brandon Webb will combine for 40 wins.
CHC: Kerry Wood will save over 35 games.
CIN: Joey Votto and Jay Bruce will start less than 150 games combined.
HOU: Roy Oswalt will be the only Astros pitcher with at least 10 wins.
MIL: Mike Cameron will hit over 30 home runs. Padre fans will jump off the Coronado Bridge when they hear this.
PIT: Jason Bay and Xavier Nady will not finish the year with the Pirates.
STL: Albert Pujols' torn elbow ligament will force him to make at least 1 DL trip.
ATL: Mark Teixiera will hit over 40 homers.
FLA: Hanley Ramirez will be a 30 HR/30 SB player in 2008.
NYM: Johan Santana will have an ERA over 3.75.
PHI: Ryan Howard, Jimmy Rollins and Chase Utley will combine for 120 HR.
WAS: The Nationals will draw at least 2,750,000 fans in Nationals Park's first year.
LAA: Garret Anderson and Gary Matthews Jr. will make at least 1 DL trip apiece.
OAK: Rich Harden will make 30 starts and win at least 15 games.
SEA: JJ Putz will save at least 45 games.
TEX: Michael Young will collect 200 hits again (yawn).
CWS: Ozzie Guillen will be fired before the end of the season.
CLE: Fausto Carmona will win less than 10 games and have an ERA over 4.00; the Indians will still make the playoffs.
DET: Dontrelle Willis, Jeremy Bonderman and Justin Verlander will combine for 50 wins.
KC: Alex Gordon will hit 25 HR and drive in 100 runs.
MIN: Joe Mauer will play less than 100 games.
BAL: The Orioles will have a staff ERA over 5.50.
BOS: Julio Lugo will hit under .250 and start less than 100 games.
NYY: Joba Chamberlain will not start a game in 2008.
TB: Scott Kazmir, James Shields and Matt Garza will combine for 50 wins.
TOR: Roy Halladay and AJ Burnett will both make at least 1 DL trip.
MISC. LEAGUE PREDICTIONS
No pitcher will throw a no-hitter in 2008.
The National League will win the All-Star Game.
A National League player will win the Home Run Derby.
Michael Young will lead the majors in average.
Ryan Howard will lead the majors in home runs.
Brandon Webb will lead the majors in wins.
Long-winded, I know...I apologize. Not. :-)
Jody Gerut, the left fielder for your 2008 San Diego Padres. It's gonna be a long season...
No way
that Haren and Webb combine for 40 wins. Without the bullpen they had last year, AZ is gonna find themselves blowing LOTS of games.
Plus, nobody has won 20 games in the NL in 2 years. I also don't think Haren is going to be as successful in AZ that everyone assumes.
I would agree
with Haren not being quite as dominant as everyone expects. He is coming from an extreme pitchers park that limits homeruns, and going to an extreme hitters park that creates a lot of homeruns. Considering a big chunk of his success came from limiting homeruns, I think even with moving to the NL he won't be quite as dominant. He will still be good, but not as good as a lot of people expect.
I agree
On Haren. But that team is still good enough for him to win 17-18 games, even if he does drop off. That 40 win prediction is more based on Webb, who I think will have the season of his life now that more people are looking at Haren as the meal ticket.
Jody Gerut, the left fielder for your 2008 San Diego Padres. It's gonna be a long season...
plus
I don't see Santana having an ERA over 3.75. Considering that for as long as been a starting pitcher (6 years now), his highest ERA has been 3.33. I don't think the move to the NL will hurt him.
It's more of a hunch
Than anything scientific. I feel like the pressure of playing in New York will faze him a little bit...not a ton, but it only takes a few mistakes to get in your head in that city...
Jody Gerut, the left fielder for your 2008 San Diego Padres. It's gonna be a long season...
IMO
Their bullpen overacheived last year, especially Valverde. I think the D'Backs will be thrilled to have him gone this year. I still like their bullpen, though not as much as ours; I look for Pena to have a really solid year, as well as Brandon Lyon. The front-end, middle relief guys will be the key to whether or not their bullpen is as good as last year's.
Jody Gerut, the left fielder for your 2008 San Diego Padres. It's gonna be a long season...
It kills me to say it, but unless they stay completely healthy and get surprising years from Giles and Maddux, 84 wins will be the most they'll get this year. I love the Pads, love KT, but there's no power or speed. Let's hope all the draft picks they'll get this June will stockpile for the future...
Predictions
Padres -- 87 wins, 2nd place (no wild card)
NL East: NY Mets
NL Central: Milwaukee Brewers
NL West: Arizona Diamondbacks
Wild Card: Philadelphia Phillies
AL East: Boston Red Sox
AL Central: Cleveland Indians
AL West: LA Angels
Wild Card: NY Yankees
World Series: Arizona over Cleveland
NL MVP: Prince Fielder
NL CYA: Chris Young
NL ROY: Colby Rasmus
AL MVP: A-Rod
AL CYA: Fausto Carmona
AL ROY: Jacoby Ellsburry
Right Hurr
NATIONAL LEAGUE
Division Winners: Mets, Cubs, Diamondbacks
Wildcard: Phillies, contested by Reds, Brewers, Rockies, and Braves (It will be a wild raceto remember)
MVP: David Wright Runner Up: Ryan Howard
CY: Johan Santana Runner Up: Carlos Zambrano
ROY: Kosuke Fukudome Runner Up: Geovany Soto
NLDS: Cubs over D-Backs, Mets over Phillies
NLCS: Cubs over Mets
AMERICAN LEAGUE
Division Winners: Angels, Tigers, Red Sox
Wildcard: Indians, contested by Yankees and DEVIL RAYS
MVP: Miguel Cabrera Runner Up: Manny Ramirez
CY: C.C. Sabthia Runner Up: Daisuke Matsuzaka
ROY: Evan Longoria (Not big on him, but I cant find anyone else to pick than Ellsbury)
ALDS: Red Sox over Angels, Tigers over Indians
ALCS: Red Sox over Tigers
WORLD SERIES
Im not decided yet. If I was forced to pick, Id go with the Bo Sox.
"I can accept failure, but I can't accept not trying" - Michael Jordan, the one and only...
WTF...this team is better than last year's.
Tad vs Wee Gilly
Barrett vs Barrett
Kouz will start better
Left vs Hormel last year
Center vs Cameron's usual slow start
Bench vs Ensberg, Mackowak, Cheops, Blummer
CY did not pitch well last year
AZ's youth will have a sophmore jinx
CO will not win 30 games in a row to finish
Tony Clark now plays for us
Do not doubt the moneyball mafia. They know what they are doing...I hope.
I agree
While I'm usually the pessimistic one, the predictions around here from the Padre fans are even more pessimistic than I can muster a few days before opening day.
...the man who isn't a pessimist is a damned fool.-Mark Twain
by Sam (sdsuaztec4) on Mar 28, 2008 1:47 AM PDT up reply actions
Don't Forget
All that pessimism serves a purpose.
Remember how ugly it gets around here when we're flying high and then a player strikes out -- let alone we lose a game?!? It's better this way. No where to go but up. The fall hurts too much. *wink*
NOT that I would ever fall victim to such negativity *who me?* I just don't want to jinx anything. LOL.
Capri. Baseball will get me through the Bar.
polyanna
88 Wins, 1st place. Allow me to dream.
Hairston 19 hrs 78 rbis
Kouz 24 hr .292 ba
Khalil 150 games
CY ties Jake with 17 wins.
My predictions
NL West
1. Dodgers: Every year I think the Dodgers will be in first place, and every year they don't finish in first place. So why would I stop now? Plus, I find them to have the biggest upside of any team. They have a decent rotation now, and if they can add Kershaw or Schmidt by midseason they'll be even better.
2. Padres: I think this will be the year that Towers makes a big move in July to push the team over the edge. Once they get Headley and Prior going, I think both of them will be strong contributors. Also, Heath Bell will be the closer by the end of the year. I can just as easily see them in 4th place, and don't think they'll make the playoffs even if they finish in second because they can only play the Giants so many times. Don't see them winning the division even as a best-case scenario.
3. Diamondbacks: The rotation will keep them in the race, but unless the young guys all start getting on base more frequently, I think the run differential will even out this year.
4. Rockies: They could just as easily win the division, but I think it's hard to consistently win in Colorado, and their offense was relatively injury free last year. They were a .500 team that got hot at the right time, but that won't happen this year. They need to play well all season if they want to make the playoffs. Also, I think they have the weakest pitching staff of the four contenders.
5. Giants: I live in the Bay Area, so I am definitely going to enjoy this.
NL:
Dodgers
Cubs
Braves
WC: Mets
AL:
Angels
Cleveland
Boston
WC: Detroit
Braves over Cubs
Mets over Dodgers
Braves over Mets
Detroit over Boston
Cleveland over Anaheim
Cleveland over Detroit
Cleveland in 6
AL MVP: Miguel Cabrera
NL MVP: Ryan Howard
AL Cy Young: Verlander
NL Cy Young: Peavy
AL Rookie: Alexi Ramirez
NL Rookie: Fukudome
"Winfield's head hits the wall! It's rolling toward second base!" - Jerry Coleman
Xei predictions
NL West
1. DBacks 88-74
2. LA Dodgers 85-77
3. San Pedros 83-79
4. Col Hockies 79-83
5. San Giants 22-140
NL Central: Bears
NL East: Eagles
AL West: Chiefs
AL Central: Colts
AL East: Pats
NL ROY: Kershaw (LAD)
AL ROY: C.Gonzalez (Oak)
Comeback POY: Armando Benitez
NL MVP: Conor Jackson
AL MVP: Grady Sizemore
NL Cy: E.Volquez
AL Cy: D.Eveland
2008 President Winner: McCain 289 electoral votes
Britney Spears gets back with K-Fed
6.7 earthquake hits San Andreas fault
Large ice sheet breaks and Al Gore weeps
Celtics win NBA championship
USA wins Olympic basketball gold
My tomato plants yield well this summer.
vr, Xei
Oh man
I will leave it to you guys - for whatever reason I always hate making predictions other than about who will get booted off American Idol!
I do forsee many open threads containing phrases like:
Dammit Khalil! JaKKKKKKKKKKe! A-Gon! Gilly walks. Go to the bullpen NOW! Why can't we move runners over? Why can't we just score RUNS? Dear gawd Hoffy, can't you go 1-2-3? Holy crap can someone please pass the defibrillator? This team is killing me! How could we lose to the effin Marlins??? Dodgers suck. Go Padres! Walk off!!! They did it!! Man, I love this team.
Couldn't agree more.
Dammit Khalil! JaKKKKKKKKKKe! A-Gon! Gilly walks. Go to the bullpen NOW! Why can't we move runners over? Why can't we just score RUNS? Dear gawd Hoffy, can't you go 1-2-3? Holy crap can someone please pass the defibrillator? This team is killing me! How could we lose to the effin Marlins??? Dodgers suck. Go Padres! Walk off!!! They did it!! Man, I love this team.
burp
Padres: 92 wins (70 losses)
Diamondbacks: 90 wins (72L)
Dodgers: 88 wins (74L)
Rockies: 87 wins (75L)
Giants: 68 wins (94L)
Best Rotation, best bullpen, Team ERA 3.62 (better than last year).
-Zen Blade














