Open Thread, Over/Under: Jake Peavy

by Dex on Mar 20, 2007 11:19 AM PDT in News

So pjbno4 thinks that Jake's the only Padre worth drafting if you're a Padres fan. Let's do a quick over/under on our resident airport policewoman antagonist. Our prediction today comes from ESPN the Magazine.

Jake Peavy
W: 13
L: 11
K: 217
ERA: 3.52
WHIP: 1.18

Judging from spring training, I don't think Maddux is having much of an effect on Peavy's tendency to try to strike everybody out. However, I think there's renewed intensity within Jake to prove that he's the ace of this staff. Therefore:

Over 13
Under 11
Over 217 (Jake wins the strikeout title again)
Over 3.52 (thanks to some spectacular flameout losses)
Over 1.18

I'm thinking Jake's still worth the pick just on the basis of him actually striking out every single batter he faces this season. Literally.

P.S. Check out ESPN the Magazine with Lefty on the cover. There's a nice one page piece on Jake Peavy and his thoughts on spring training. Somebody left him an orange t-shirt with "I'm Out On Bail" on it. Oh you ballplayers and your antics!

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21

Not only does Jake strikeout more than 217 this year and lead the leauge, he'll get 21 in one game!

by Jonny Dub on Mar 20, 2007 3:10 PM PDT reply actions

No, it won't happen because...

A) He'll get pulled for a pinch hitter with 18 K's in the bottom of the 8th.

B) He'll get the first 15 outs of the game on K's, but it'll take him 150 pitches to do so. Black will be forced to pull him.

by benrb on Mar 20, 2007 7:52 PM PDT up reply actions

A)

I can agree with A, like it did last year. But if we have a big enough lead I think his pitch count should be set at 200.

by Jonny Dub on Mar 20, 2007 9:41 PM PDT up reply actions

Remember No Bochy

I'm having trouble thinking about managerial strategies without Bochy being there. I think there became a point where I no longer started forming opinions about what the Padres should do in a situation, because I knew what Bochy WOULD do, so I didn't bother fighting it. This year it will be strange to get surprised a few times by managerial decisions.

Although letting someone throw 150 pitches should earn you some time in the city jail. So I'd want him pulled before he got there. Did you know there have been high school coaches who have let their hurlers toss over 200 in a game?

by Wonko on Mar 21, 2007 1:38 AM PDT up reply actions

200

I wouldn't doubt high schoolers tossing 200. Japanese pitchers are big into conditioning. Japan pitches the hell out of them. They throw a lot more on a lot less rest. Begs the question: Why not take that approach in MLB?

by Jonny Dub on Mar 21, 2007 9:50 AM PDT up reply actions