2007 NL West Overview

by Xeifrank on Feb 11, 2007 12:16 AM PST

Padres came out on top in my baseball simulation of the NL West. Each pitcher from the NL West faced every other pitcher from the NL West. The simulation measured Pitcher A + Offense A + Bullpen A vs Pitcher B + Offense B + Bullpen B, not just Pitcher A vs Pitcher B. Each simulation was ran 2500 times for a standard error of 0.01 in the winning percentage. The simulation uses ZIPS projected player statistics as it's input.

1. Padres
2t. DBacks
2t. Dodgers

Giants
Rockies

http://dodgersims.blogspot.com/

vr, Xeifrank

This FanPost was written by a member of the Gaslamp Ball community and does not necessarily reflect the views of the Gaslamp Ball managers or SB Nation.

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Good sims for us

Though I'm worried that this could be working its way into some powerful jinx magic. There's no reason why the Padres shouldn't succeed and that's exactly why they may fail.

by Dex on Feb 12, 2007 2:56 PM PST reply actions

Final Record

Does it figure out what the final win/loss will be?

by Jonny Dub on Feb 13, 2007 7:28 PM PST reply actions

re: Final Record

The simulations I ran were not setup to find the final record. I could do that though. I would probably play X number of 162 game seasons, using the Padres 2007 schedule. It's doable, but not in the mix right now. The Padres ended up on top in the simulation of the NL West matchups.

vr, Xei

by Xeifrank on Feb 15, 2007 10:29 AM PST reply actions

Just so you know

www.mccoveychronicles.com is also picking the Pads for first...this poster, who has also placed his predictions on that blog is not the only one there who is saying this.

by San Diego Smooth Jazz Man on Feb 24, 2007 1:18 PM PST reply actions